Casa Rica Eviction Risk: Lower , Scottsdale

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. 19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

The voucher gap is 19.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Housing insecurity runs 5.1% against 14.2% nationally.

At $2,321 a month, rents run 15% over what the rest of Scottsdale commands. The filing record is not thin: 29 evictions over 5 years of observation.

Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2002 at 1.3% of renter households.

In a typical year about 0.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.6/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.