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Neighborhood · Scottsdale, AZ

Country Horizons Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 6,553 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.1/10 · range 3–3.4

Country Horizons takes in 2 census tracts of Scottsdale, AZ and houses 6,553 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.1/10, in the Lower tier. 61% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the Scottsdale rate of 29.2%.

36% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 1.5/10.

On the softer side is housing-court posture, at 2/10. Filings are well documented here: 220 across 2 observed tracts.

Food insecurity affects 6.7% of adults, 11.1 points below the national rate. 3.4% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Filing activity peaked in 2004 at 10.7% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 4.9% in 2005, is well off that peak. That places it #9 of 31 neighborhoods in Scottsdale.

At 24% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

With little internal variation, 3.1/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Country Horizons vs Scottsdale How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
61.0% +109%
Scottsdale: 29.2%
Average gross rent
$2,001 -1%
Scottsdale: $2,013
Average HH income
$136,637 +27%
Scottsdale: $107,372
Poverty rate
8.1% +14%
Scottsdale: 7.1%
Renter share
23.6% -28%
Scottsdale: 33.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Country Horizons and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–3.4

Why Country Horizons scores 3.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Rent control risk
61% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
24% renter households · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Economic stress
8.1% below poverty line · Range 1.8–2.7 across tracts
2.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.3–5.9 across tracts
5.3
Risk score comparison

Country Horizons vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Country Horizons score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Country Horizons: 3.13.1Country HorizonsNeighborhoodParent city: 3.23.2Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Country Horizons

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013216810 3.4 1,537 43% $1,626
04013216807 3 5,016 67% $2,116
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 11

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 16%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 20%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 21%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 13%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Country Horizons

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 220Total filings (sum)
  • 6.99%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.7%Peak year (2004)
  • 7.03%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Country Horizons

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Country Horizons

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Country Horizons?

Country Horizons scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Country Horizons compare to Scottsdale overall?

Country Horizons scores 0.1 points lower than Scottsdale overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $2,001 vs $2,013.
Q3

What is the average rent in Country Horizons?

Average gross rent in Country Horizons is $2,001/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Country Horizons residents are renters?

24% of Country Horizons households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Scottsdale). The neighborhood has 6,553 residents.
Q5

Is Country Horizons a high social-vulnerability area?

Country Horizons sits in the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Country Horizons have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Country Horizons is census tract 04013216810 (score 3.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.4, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Country Horizons for landlords?

Country Horizons carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Scottsdale as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Country Horizons?

Country Horizons has 6,764 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (87%), Hispanic / Latino (5.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (3.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Country Horizons

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Scottsdale

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Country Horizons.

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