Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Country Horizons Eviction Risk: Lower , Scottsdale
Tract 04013216807 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,016 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 04013216807 covers part of the Country Horizons area of Scottsdale, AZ, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 41%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units2,315
Renter share12.4%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate7.3%
Median income$153,977
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
29
th percentile
Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region
Centroid at 33.5706, -111.8973 · click any tract to drill in
Why Country Horizons scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
7.3% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$2,116 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.0
How Country Horizons compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 3
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 11%Socioeconomic
- 10%Household composition
- 16%Racial/ethnic minority
- 4%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 201Total filings over 5 yrs
- 8.86%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.7%Peak (2001)
- 35Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 30% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Country Horizons. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.7%Housing insecurity
- 3.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.7%Food insecurity
- 3.7%SNAP enrollment
- 3.9%Transit barriers
- 4.7%No health insurance
- 11.2%Frequent mental distress
- 23.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Country Horizons
roughly two in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10. SNAP participation runs 3.7% against 15.2% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 4.7% against 14.2% nationally.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 201 filings here across 5 tracked years. It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7.
The worst year on record was 2001, when 10.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 8.9% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013216807
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013216807?
Census tract 04013216807 in the Country Horizons neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013216807?
Median gross rent is $2,116/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013216807?
7.3% of residents in tract 04013216807 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,016.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013216807?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 10th, minority 16th, housing 4th.
Q5
Is tract 04013216807 considered part of Country Horizons?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013216807 fall within Country Horizons (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013216807?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 201 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013216807 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.86% of renter households, peaking at 10.7% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013216807 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013216807 compare to Scottsdale overall?
Tract 04013216807 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Scottsdale at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Scottsdale
Top eight tracts in Scottsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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Main Street Arts District
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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Downtown Scottsdale
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Trails II
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Gainey Ranch
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013217700
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Shiloh Canyon
3.4
/ 10 · Low
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Country Horizons
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Santo Tomas
3.3
/ 10 · Low
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