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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Main Street Arts District Eviction Risk: Lower , Scottsdale

Tract 04013217502 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,758 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

04013217502 is a census tract in the Main Street Arts District area of Scottsdale, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,758 residents. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 42% Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units2,158
Renter share66.7%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate10.8%
Median income$107,845

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Main Street Arts District
Elevated
Within parent city
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#34 of 61 tracts In Scottsdale
Moderate
Within county
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#757 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region

Centroid at 33.4850, -111.9309 · click any tract to drill in

Why Main Street Arts District scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
10.8% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,930 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.0

How Main Street Arts District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Main Street Arts District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 217502Scottsdale: 3.23.2Scottsdaleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 28

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 511Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 11.15%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.9%Peak (2001)
  • 99Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040132175022001: 127 filings (13.88/100 renter HHs)2002: 88 filings (9.62/100 renter HHs)2003: 106 filings (11.59/100 renter HHs)2004: 91 filings (9.95/100 renter HHs)2005: 99 filings (10.73/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 22% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Main Street Arts District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Main Street Arts District

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. 67% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10.

38% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. SNAP participation runs 5.9% against 15.2% nationally. 10% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Food insecurity runs 9.2% against 17.8% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 511 filings here across 5 tracked years.

Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. The worst year on record was 2001, when 13.9% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 11.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013217502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013217502?

Census tract 04013217502 in the Main Street Arts District neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013217502?

Median gross rent is $1,930/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013217502?

10.8% of residents in tract 04013217502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,758.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013217502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 1th, minority 42th, housing 73th.
Q5

Is tract 04013217502 considered part of Main Street Arts District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013217502 fall within Main Street Arts District (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013217502?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 511 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013217502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.15% of renter households, peaking at 13.9% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013217502 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013217502 compare to Scottsdale overall?

Tract 04013217502 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Scottsdale at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Scottsdale

Top eight tracts in Scottsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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