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Neighborhood · Scottsdale, AZ

Main Street Arts District Eviction Risk: Lower

4 census tracts · pop 16,356 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.3/10 · range 3–4.6

Main Street Arts District is a 4-tract neighborhood of Scottsdale, AZ and houses 16,356 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.3/10, in the Lower tier. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

Running cool is tenant-organizing strength, at 1.5/10. 18% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Scores across the 4 constituent tracts range from 3 to 4.6. A 1.6-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

Against a Scottsdale baseline of 29.2%, around a third of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Well under the midpoint is housing-court posture, at 2/10. Court records carry 2,443 eviction filings across its 4 observed tracts.

At $1,744 a month, rents sit 13% under what the rest of Scottsdale commands. Filing activity peaked in 2004 at 18.8% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 9.8% in 2005, is well off that peak. That places it #6 of 31 neighborhoods in Scottsdale.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Gainey Ranch and Trails II. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $90,533. 59% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 3.3 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
4 tracts · population-weighted
Main Street Arts District vs Scottsdale How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
36.0% +23%
Scottsdale: 29.2%
Average gross rent
$1,744 -13%
Scottsdale: $2,013
Average HH income
$90,533 -16%
Scottsdale: $107,372
Poverty rate
8.5% +19%
Scottsdale: 7.1%
Renter share
58.5% +77%
Scottsdale: 33.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Main Street Arts District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3–4.6

Why Main Street Arts District scores 3.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Rent control risk
36% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
59% renter households · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Economic stress
8.5% below poverty line · Range 1.0–4.5 across tracts
2.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.7–5.2 across tracts
3.9
Risk score comparison

Main Street Arts District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Main Street Arts District score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Main Street Arts D: 3.33.3Main Street Arts DNeighborhoodParent city: 3.23.2Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Main Street Arts District?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.6 points from 3 to 4.6. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Main Street Arts District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013217501 4.6 3,291 46% $1,509
04013217600 3 5,380 29% $1,575
04013217900 3 3,927 36% $1,994
04013217502 3 3,758 38% $1,930
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 49

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 53%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 20%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 49%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 76%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Main Street Arts District

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,443Total filings (sum)
  • 11.22%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.8%Peak year (2004)
  • 10.20%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Main Street Arts District

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Main Street Arts District

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Main Street Arts District?

Main Street Arts District scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Main Street Arts District compare to Scottsdale overall?

Main Street Arts District scores 0.1 points higher than Scottsdale overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 36% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,744 vs $2,013.
Q3

What is the average rent in Main Street Arts District?

Average gross rent in Main Street Arts District is $1,744/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Main Street Arts District residents are renters?

59% of Main Street Arts District households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Scottsdale). The neighborhood has 16,356 residents.
Q5

Is Main Street Arts District a high social-vulnerability area?

Main Street Arts District sits in the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Main Street Arts District have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Main Street Arts District is census tract 04013217501 (score 4.6/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 4.6, a spread of 1.6 points.
Q7

How safe is Main Street Arts District for landlords?

Main Street Arts District carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.3/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Scottsdale as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Main Street Arts District?

Main Street Arts District has 15,566 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (69.7%), Hispanic / Latino (18.4%), Other / Multiracial (6.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Main Street Arts District

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Scottsdale

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Main Street Arts District.

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