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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Main Street Arts District Eviction Risk: Lower , Scottsdale

Tract 04013217900 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,927 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

04013217900 is a census tract in the Main Street Arts District area of Scottsdale, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 27% Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,803
Renter share42.2%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate3.2%
Median income$118,086

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Main Street Arts District
Very Low
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#46 of 61 tracts In Scottsdale
Low
Within county
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#760 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region

Centroid at 33.4749, -111.9197 · click any tract to drill in

Why Main Street Arts District scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
3.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,994 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.0

How Main Street Arts District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Main Street Arts District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 217900Scottsdale: 3.23.2Scottsdaleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 43

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 346Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 11.84%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.8%Peak (2002)
  • 38Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040132179002001: 72 filings (12.39/100 renter HHs)2002: 109 filings (18.76/100 renter HHs)2003: 71 filings (12.22/100 renter HHs)2004: 56 filings (9.64/100 renter HHs)2005: 38 filings (6.18/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 47% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Main Street Arts District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Main Street Arts District

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Cost burden runs around a third here against 46.0% across Maricopa County.

16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. SNAP participation runs 5.7% against 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 9.0% against 17.8% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 346 filings here across 5 tracked years.

It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. The worst year on record was 2002, when 18.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 11.8% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 4.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $1,994, close to the Scottsdale average. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $118,086.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013217900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013217900?

Census tract 04013217900 in the Main Street Arts District neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013217900?

Median gross rent is $1,994/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013217900?

3.2% of residents in tract 04013217900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,927.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013217900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 34th, minority 40th, housing 57th.
Q5

Is tract 04013217900 considered part of Main Street Arts District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013217900 fall within Main Street Arts District (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013217900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 346 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013217900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.84% of renter households, peaking at 18.8% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013217900 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013217900 compare to Scottsdale overall?

Tract 04013217900 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Scottsdale at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Scottsdale

Top eight tracts in Scottsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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