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Neighborhood · Ranked #79,124 of 84,120 nationally

Main Street Arts District Eviction Risk: Lower , Scottsdale

Tract 04013217900 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,927 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Here is how census tract 04013217900, in the Main Street Arts District neighborhood of Scottsdale eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 4.3/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 3,927. That is riskier than about 19% of US census tracts.

36% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,994 monthly, set against $118,086 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 42% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 27% Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,803
Renter share42.2%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate3.2%
Median income$118,086

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Main Street Arts District
Very Low
Within parent city
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#48 of 61 tracts In Scottsdale
Low
Within county
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#891 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#1,617 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region

Centroid at 33.4749, -111.9197 · click any tract to drill in

Why Main Street Arts District scores 1.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
3.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,994 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.0

How Main Street Arts District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Main Street Arts District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.51.5This tracttract 217900Scottsdale: 2.32.3Scottsdaleparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 43

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 346Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 11.84%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.8%Peak (2002)
  • 38Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040132179002001: 72 filings (12.39/100 renter HHs)2002: 109 filings (18.76/100 renter HHs)2003: 71 filings (12.22/100 renter HHs)2004: 56 filings (9.64/100 renter HHs)2005: 38 filings (6.18/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 47% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Main Street Arts District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Main Street Arts District

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 5.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and below the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 43rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013217900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013217900?

Census tract 04013217900 in the Main Street Arts District neighborhood scores 1.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013217900?

Median gross rent is $1,994/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013217900?

3.2% of residents in tract 04013217900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,927.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013217900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 34th, minority 40th, housing 57th.
Q5

Is tract 04013217900 considered part of Main Street Arts District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013217900 fall within Main Street Arts District (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013217900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 346 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013217900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.84% of renter households, peaking at 18.8% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013217900 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013217900 compare to Scottsdale overall?

Tract 04013217900 scores 1.5/10, lower than the parent city of Scottsdale at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Scottsdale

Top eight tracts in Scottsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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