2 census tracts · pop 12,197 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.4/10
· range 3–4
Trails II spans 2 census tracts of Scottsdale, AZ, population 12,197. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.4/10, in the Lower tier. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.
On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 16%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
Running cool is housing-court posture, at 2/10. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3 to 4, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.
Court records carry 922 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. Average gross rent is $1,709, 15% below the Scottsdale average of $2,013.
Filing activity peaked in 2003 at 15.5% of renter households. 32% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, slightly above the Scottsdale rate of 29.2%. Recent filings have not receded much: 10.6% in 2005 against a 15.5% peak.
That places it #3 of 31 neighborhoods in Scottsdale. The closest comparables inside the same city are Shiloh Canyon and Downtown Scottsdale.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Trails II vs ScottsdaleHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority51%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport95%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Trails II
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
922Total filings (sum)
10.08%Avg annual filing rate
15.5%Peak year (2003)
10.54%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Trails II
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
9.6%Housing insecurity
5.6%Utility shutoff threat
12.3%Food insecurity
8.4%SNAP enrollment
10.0%No health insurance
26.4%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Trails II
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Trails II?
Trails II scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Trails II compare to Scottsdale overall?
Trails II scores 0.2 points higher than Scottsdale overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 32% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,709 vs $2,013.
Q3
What is the average rent in Trails II?
Average gross rent in Trails II is $1,709/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Trails II residents are renters?
51% of Trails II households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Scottsdale). The neighborhood has 12,197 residents.
Q5
Is Trails II a high social-vulnerability area?
Trails II sits in the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Trails II have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Trails II is census tract 04013218300 (score 4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 4, a spread of 1 points.
Q7
How safe is Trails II for landlords?
Trails II carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Scottsdale as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Trails II?
Trails II has 11,243 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (63.4%), Hispanic / Latino (18.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (8.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
