Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Shadow Rock Eviction Risk: Lower , Scottsdale
Tract 04013218000 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,450 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
04013218000 is a census tract in the Shadow Rock area of Scottsdale, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,450. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units2,467
Renter share37.5%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate3.0%
Median income$85,760
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
25
th percentile
Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region
Centroid at 33.4729, -111.9349 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shadow Rock scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
3.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,774 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.0
How Shadow Rock compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 32
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 27%Socioeconomic
- 8%Household composition
- 53%Racial/ethnic minority
- 70%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,135Total filings over 5 yrs
- 22.91%Avg annual filing rate
- 28.3%Peak (2001)
- 151Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 46% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Shadow Rock. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.5%Housing insecurity
- 4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.8%Food insecurity
- 5.9%SNAP enrollment
- 6.1%Transit barriers
- 9.1%No health insurance
- 14.4%Frequent mental distress
- 24.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shadow Rock
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. 17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
SNAP participation runs 5.9% against 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 1,135 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
Food insecurity runs 9.8% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.
Average gross rent is $1,774, 12% below the Scottsdale average. Filings peaked in 2001 at 28.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 22.9% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013218000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013218000?
Census tract 04013218000 in the Shadow Rock neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013218000?
Median gross rent is $1,774/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013218000?
3.0% of residents in tract 04013218000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,450.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013218000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 8th, minority 53th, housing 70th.
Q5
Is tract 04013218000 considered part of Shadow Rock?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013218000 fall within Shadow Rock (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013218000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,135 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013218000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 22.91% of renter households, peaking at 28.3% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013218000 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013218000 compare to Scottsdale overall?
Tract 04013218000 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Scottsdale at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Scottsdale
Top eight tracts in Scottsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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Main Street Arts District
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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Downtown Scottsdale
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Trails II
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Gainey Ranch
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013217700
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Shiloh Canyon
3.4
/ 10 · Low
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Country Horizons
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Santo Tomas
3.3
/ 10 · Low
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