Within neighborhood
86
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Emery Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson
Tract 04019003704 · Pima, AZ · pop 4,510 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Tract 04019003704 sits in the Emery Park area of Tucson eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. Population here is 4,510. Against Pima County at 43.8%, around a third of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,408
Renter share46.6%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate21.2%
Median income$48,418
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.1413, -110.9728 · click any tract to drill in
Why Emery Park scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
21.2% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$931 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Emery Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 70%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,346Total filings over 12 yrs
- 19.70%Avg annual filing rate
- 30.9%Peak (2007)
- 106Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 31% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Emery Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.4%Housing insecurity
- 15.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 34.7%Food insecurity
- 26.3%SNAP enrollment
- 17.4%Transit barriers
- 30.0%No health insurance
- 18.7%Frequent mental distress
- 44.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Emery Park
Adults with no health insurance runs 30.0% against 11.3% nationally. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.8/10.
Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. It sits 1.3 points above the Pima County average of 3.9. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
At $931 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Tucson commands. Housing insecurity runs 24.4% against 14.2% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,346 filings here across 12 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2007, when 30.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 19.7% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019003704
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019003704?
Census tract 04019003704 in the Emery Park neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019003704?
Median gross rent is $931/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019003704?
21.2% of residents in tract 04019003704 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,510.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019003704?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 70th, minority 94th, housing 62th.
Q5
Is tract 04019003704 considered part of Emery Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019003704 fall within Emery Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019003704?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,346 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019003704 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.70% of renter households, peaking at 30.9% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04019003704 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04019003704 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019003704 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Barrio Histórico District
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Emery Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Flowing Wells
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Jefferson Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Vandenberg Village
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Poet's Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Barrio Hollywood
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Emery Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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