Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally

Emery Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson

Tract 04019004110 · Pima, AZ · pop 2,642 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Census tract 04019004110 belongs to the Emery Park area of Tucson, Arizona. It is home to 2,642 residents and scores 5.1/10, a moderate reading for landlords. It lands near the 44th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

33% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,111 a month while the average household earns $56,689 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 15% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 10% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units882
Renter share15.0%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate11.3%
Median income$56,689

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 8 tracts In Emery Park
Very Low
Within parent city
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#95 of 143 tracts In Tucson
Low
Within county
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#105 of 270 tracts In Pima
Elevated
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#538 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tucson and the region

Centroid at 32.1560, -110.9392 · click any tract to drill in

Why Emery Park scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
11.3% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,111 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5

How Emery Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Emery Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.44.4This tracttract 004110Tucson: 3.23.2Tucsonparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 203Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 9.73%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.8%Peak (2012)
  • 28Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040190041102004: 5 filings (3.55/100 renter HHs)2005: 5 filings (2.94/100 renter HHs)2006: 12 filings (7.06/100 renter HHs)2007: 7 filings (4.12/100 renter HHs)2008: 16 filings (9.41/100 renter HHs)2009: 18 filings (10.59/100 renter HHs)2010: 21 filings (12.35/100 renter HHs)2011: 27 filings (12.86/100 renter HHs)2012: 31 filings (14.76/100 renter HHs)2013: 15 filings (7.14/100 renter HHs)2016: 18 filings (12.50/100 renter HHs)2017: 28 filings (19.44/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 460% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Emery Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Emery Park

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tucson eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Pima County average of 5.5 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 18.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019004110

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004110?

Census tract 04019004110 in the Emery Park neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019004110?

Median gross rent is $1,111/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004110?

11.3% of residents in tract 04019004110 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,642.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004110?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 72th, minority 87th, housing 17th.
Q5

Is tract 04019004110 considered part of Emery Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019004110 fall within Emery Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004110?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 203 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004110 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.73% of renter households, peaking at 14.8% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04019004110 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04019004110 compare to Tucson overall?

Tract 04019004110 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tucson

Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related