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Neighborhood · Menifee, CA

Quail Valley Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 6,334 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.7/10 · range 7.7–7.7

Quail Valley is a one-tract neighborhood of Menifee, CA and houses 6,334 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.7/10, in the Elevated tier. 82% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Menifee rate of 39.5%.

Severe burden reaches 35%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.8/10. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 21.9% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,871, 11% below the Menifee average of $2,110.

Food insecurity affects 26.0% of adults, 8.2 points above the national rate. That places it #1 of 6 neighborhoods in Menifee. At 18% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

For a like-for-like read, Romoland and Pacific Melrose score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $75,012.

One tract means one number: 7.7/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
7.7
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Quail Valley vs Menifee How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
81.5% +106%
Menifee: 39.5%
Average gross rent
$1,871 -11%
Menifee: $2,110
Average HH income
$75,012 -16%
Menifee: $89,183
Poverty rate
22.4% +134%
Menifee: 9.6%
Renter share
18.1% -8%
Menifee: 19.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Quail Valley and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 7.7–7.7

Why Quail Valley scores 7.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Rent control risk
82% of income on rent · Range 8.8–8.8 across tracts
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
18% renter households · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Economic stress
22.4% below poverty line · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Risk score comparison

Quail Valley vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Quail Valley score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Quail Valley: 7.77.7Quail ValleyNeighborhoodParent city: 6.36.3Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Quail Valley

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06065042717 7.7 6,334 82% $1,871
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 79

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 91%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 81%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 78%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 33%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Quail Valley

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Quail Valley

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Quail Valley?

Quail Valley scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Quail Valley compare to Menifee overall?

Quail Valley scores 1.4 points higher than Menifee overall (6.3/10). Renters spend 82% of income on rent vs 40% citywide. Average rent: $1,871 vs $2,110.
Q3

What is the average rent in Quail Valley?

Average gross rent in Quail Valley is $1,871/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 82% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Quail Valley residents are renters?

18% of Quail Valley households are renter-occupied (vs 20% in Menifee). The neighborhood has 6,334 residents.
Q5

Is Quail Valley a high social-vulnerability area?

Quail Valley sits in the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Quail Valley for landlords?

Quail Valley carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Menifee as a whole (6.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Quail Valley?

Quail Valley has 6,261 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (53.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (31.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (8.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Quail Valley

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Menifee

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Quail Valley.

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