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Neighborhood · Perris, CA

Ellis Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 5,847 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.2/10 · range 7.2–7.2

Ellis maps to a single census tract in Perris, CA and houses 5,847 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 7.2/10, Elevated tier. The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 1/10.

Average gross rent is $1,359, 28% below the Perris average of $1,876. 67% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Cost burden runs 41% against 33.3% citywide, putting Ellis 7.3% over its own city.

17% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.9/10.

Food insecurity affects 33.0% of adults, 15.2 points above the national rate. 21.3% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Among the 7 mapped neighborhoods of Perris, it ranks #3 by risk, the middle third.

For a like-for-like read, Westerly Place and Vista Creek score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $81,250.

One tract means one number: 7.2/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.2
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Ellis vs Perris How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
40.6% +22%
Perris: 33.3%
Average gross rent
$1,359 -28%
Perris: $1,876
Average HH income
$81,250 -2%
Perris: $82,523
Poverty rate
14.5% +22%
Perris: 11.9%
Renter share
66.8% +114%
Perris: 31.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Ellis and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 7.2–7.2

Why Ellis scores 7.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Rent control risk
41% of income on rent · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
67% renter households · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Economic stress
14.5% below poverty line · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts
3.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Ellis vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Ellis score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.2EllisNeighborhood6.5Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Ellis

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
06065042802 7.2 5,847 41% $1,359
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 86

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 84%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 80%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 94%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 66%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Ellis

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Ellis

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Ellis?

Ellis scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Ellis compare to Perris overall?

Ellis scores 0.7 points higher than Perris overall (6.5/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,359 vs $1,876.
Q3

What is the average rent in Ellis?

Average gross rent in Ellis is $1,359/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Ellis residents are renters?

67% of Ellis households are renter-occupied (vs 31% in Perris). The neighborhood has 5,847 residents.
Q5

Is Ellis a high social-vulnerability area?

Ellis sits in the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Ellis for landlords?

Ellis carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Perris as a whole (6.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Ellis?

Ellis has 6,151 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (88.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (4.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (3.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Ellis

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Perris

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Ellis.

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