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Neighborhood · Perris, CA

Ellis Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 5,847 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.2/10 · range 7.2–7.2

Ellis maps to a single census tract in Perris, CA and houses 5,847 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 7.2/10, Elevated tier. The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 1/10.

Average gross rent is $1,359, 28% below the Perris average of $1,876. 67% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Cost burden runs 41% against 33.3% citywide, putting Ellis 7.3% over its own city.

17% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.9/10.

Food insecurity affects 33.0% of adults, 15.2 points above the national rate. 21.3% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Among the 7 mapped neighborhoods of Perris, it ranks #3 by risk, the middle third.

For a like-for-like read, Westerly Place and Vista Creek score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $81,250.

One tract means one number: 7.2/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.2
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Ellis vs Perris How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
40.6% +22%
Perris: 33.3%
Average gross rent
$1,359 -28%
Perris: $1,876
Average HH income
$81,250 -2%
Perris: $82,523
Poverty rate
14.5% +22%
Perris: 11.9%
Renter share
66.8% +114%
Perris: 31.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Ellis and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 7.2–7.2

Why Ellis scores 7.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Rent control risk
41% of income on rent · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
67% renter households · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Economic stress
14.5% below poverty line · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts
3.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Ellis vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Ellis score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Ellis: 7.27.2EllisNeighborhoodParent city: 6.56.5Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Ellis

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06065042802 7.2 5,847 41% $1,359
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 86

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 84%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 80%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 94%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 66%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Ellis

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Ellis

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Ellis?

Ellis scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Ellis compare to Perris overall?

Ellis scores 0.7 points higher than Perris overall (6.5/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,359 vs $1,876.
Q3

What is the average rent in Ellis?

Average gross rent in Ellis is $1,359/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Ellis residents are renters?

67% of Ellis households are renter-occupied (vs 31% in Perris). The neighborhood has 5,847 residents.
Q5

Is Ellis a high social-vulnerability area?

Ellis sits in the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Ellis for landlords?

Ellis carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Perris as a whole (6.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Ellis?

Ellis has 6,151 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (88.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (4.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (3.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Ellis

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Perris

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Ellis.

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