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Neighborhood · Temecula, CA

Vail Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,235 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.1/10 · range 3.1–3.1

Vail Ranch is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Temecula with 1 census tract and a population of 4,235 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.1/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 54% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 16% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,996/month sits 28% higher than the Temecula citywide average ($2,347).

Risk score
3.1
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Vail Ranch vs Temecula How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
54.0% +65%
Temecula: 32.8%
Average gross rent
$2,996 +28%
Temecula: $2,347
Average HH income
$125,362 +6%
Temecula: $117,840
Poverty rate
1.0% -86%
Temecula: 7.4%
Renter share
16.1% -50%
Temecula: 32.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Vail Ranch and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.1–3.1

Why Vail Ranch scores 3.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
54% of income on rent · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
16% renter households · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Economic stress
1.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Risk score comparison

Vail Ranch vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Vail Ranch score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Vail Ranch: 3.13.1Vail RanchNeighborhoodParent city: 7.87.8Parent cityhost cityState: 8.48.4Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Vail Ranch

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06065043248 3.1 4,235 54% $2,996
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 21

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 15%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 58%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 65%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 12%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Vail Ranch

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Vail Ranch

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Vail Ranch?

Vail Ranch scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Vail Ranch compare to Temecula overall?

Vail Ranch scores 4.7 points lower than Temecula overall (7.8/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $2,996 vs $2,347.
Q3

What is the average rent in Vail Ranch?

Average gross rent in Vail Ranch is $2,996/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Vail Ranch residents are renters?

16% of Vail Ranch households are renter-occupied (vs 32% in Temecula). The neighborhood has 4,235 residents.
Q5

Is Vail Ranch a high social-vulnerability area?

Vail Ranch sits in the 21st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Vail Ranch for landlords?

Vail Ranch carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Temecula as a whole (7.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Vail Ranch?

Vail Ranch has 4,097 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (43.8%), Hispanic / Latino (25.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (19.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Vail Ranch

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Temecula

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Vail Ranch.

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