Vail Ranch Eviction Risk: Moderate

The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1/10. The voucher gap is 29.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Average gross rent is $2,996, 28% above the Temecula average of $2,347.

Sitting well above the midpoint is supply constraint at 8/10. Severe burden reaches 16%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.4/10.

Food insecurity affects 9.8% of adults, 8.0 points below the national rate. 5.2% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Among the 19 mapped neighborhoods of Temecula, it ranks #10 by risk, the middle third.

Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $125,362.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.2/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.