Neighborhood · Ranked #6,676 of 84,120 nationally

Castle Park Eviction Risk: High , Chula Vista

Tract 06073013303 · San Diego, CA · pop 4,916 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Tract 06073013303 sits in the Castle Park area of Chula Vista eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.2/10. The severe-burden share is 45%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

8.2

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 13% Owners 63%

Tract context

Occupied units1,388

Renter share36.6%

SVI overall0.95

Poverty rate6.8%

Median income$71,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chula Vista and the region

Centroid at 32.6078, -117.0502 · click any tract to drill in

Why Castle Park scores 8.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Chula Vista

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

6.8% poverty · this tract

1.7

Supply constraint

$2,005 rent vs county FMR

2.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Chula Vista

8.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Chula Vista

8.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Chula Vista

6.3

How Castle Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

82%Socioeconomic
93%Household composition
89%Racial/ethnic minority
94%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Castle Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

20.8%Housing insecurity
8.8%Utility-shutoff threat
24.9%Food insecurity
20.8%SNAP enrollment
11.7%Transit barriers
17.9%No health insurance
16.4%Frequent mental distress
34.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Castle Park

Cost burden runs around two-thirds here against 52.5% across San Diego County. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.7/10.

Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $71,750, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10.

Food insecurity runs 24.9% against 17.8% nationally. Average gross rent is $2,005, 10% below the Chula Vista average. That is riskier than roughly 92% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 9.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the San Diego County average of 7.6 closely. 37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073013303

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073013303?

Census tract 06073013303 in the Castle Park neighborhood scores 8.2/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073013303?

Median gross rent is $2,005/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073013303?

6.8% of residents in tract 06073013303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,916.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073013303?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 93th, minority 89th, housing 94th.

Is tract 06073013303 considered part of Castle Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073013303 fall within Castle Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073013303 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073013303 compare to Chula Vista overall?

Tract 06073013303 scores 8.2/10, higher than the parent city of Chula Vista at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chula Vista

Top eight tracts in Chula Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.