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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,032 of 84,120 nationally

Eastlake Greens Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chula Vista

Tract 06073013424 · San Diego, CA · pop 6,802 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

06073013424 is a census tract in the Eastlake Greens area of Chula Vista, CA. It scores 6.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 6,802 residents. Cost burden runs 34% here against 52.5% across San Diego County.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 27% Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,884
Renter share40.6%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate3.0%
Median income$160,263

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In Eastlake Greens
Low
Within parent city
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#47 of 54 tracts In Chula Vista
Very Low
Within county
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#595 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Very Low
Within state
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#6,341 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chula Vista and the region

Centroid at 32.6551, -116.9630 · click any tract to drill in

Why Eastlake Greens scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chula Vista
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,112 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chula Vista
6.3

How Eastlake Greens compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Eastlake Greens risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.46.4This tracttract 013424Chula Vista: 7.87.8Chula Vistaparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 37

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Eastlake Greens. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Eastlake Greens

At $3,112 a month, rents run 40% over what the rest of Chula Vista commands. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.

27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10. Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points.

That is riskier than roughly 81% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 4.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $160,263. 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073013424

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073013424?

Census tract 06073013424 in the Eastlake Greens neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073013424?

Median gross rent is $3,112/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073013424?

3.0% of residents in tract 06073013424 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,802.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073013424?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 46th, minority 89th, housing 18th.
Q5

Is tract 06073013424 considered part of Eastlake Greens?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073013424 fall within Eastlake Greens (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073013424 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073013424 compare to Chula Vista overall?

Tract 06073013424 scores 6.4/10, lower than the parent city of Chula Vista at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chula Vista

Top eight tracts in Chula Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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