Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally

Otay Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chula Vista

Tract 06073013308 · San Diego, CA · pop 3,909 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

With a score of 7.9/10, tract 06073013308 in the Otay area of Chula Vista, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,909 residents. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.5/10.

Risk score

7.9

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 24% Owners 58%

Tract context

Occupied units1,035

Renter share41.3%

SVI overall0.80

Poverty rate9.8%

Median income$95,725

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chula Vista and the region

Centroid at 32.5918, -117.0491 · click any tract to drill in

Why Otay scores 7.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Chula Vista

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

9.8% poverty · this tract

2.4

Supply constraint

$1,863 rent vs county FMR

1.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Chula Vista

8.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Chula Vista

8.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Chula Vista

6.3

How Otay compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

76%Socioeconomic
47%Household composition
96%Racial/ethnic minority
81%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Otay. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

22.2%Housing insecurity
9.0%Utility-shutoff threat
24.3%Food insecurity
19.3%SNAP enrollment
11.9%Transit barriers
17.8%No health insurance
17.8%Frequent mental distress
30.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Otay

23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against San Diego County at 52.5%, 43% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10. At $1,863 a month, rents run 16% under what the rest of Chula Vista commands.

Housing insecurity runs 22.2% against 14.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 90th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.2/10.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the San Diego County average of 7.6 closely.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $95,725. 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073013308

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073013308?

Census tract 06073013308 in the Otay neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073013308?

Median gross rent is $1,863/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073013308?

9.8% of residents in tract 06073013308 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,909.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073013308?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 47th, minority 96th, housing 81th.

Is tract 06073013308 considered part of Otay?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073013308 fall within Otay (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073013308 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073013308 compare to Chula Vista overall?

Tract 06073013308 scores 7.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Chula Vista at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chula Vista

Top eight tracts in Chula Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.