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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally

Rancho del Rey Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chula Vista

Tract 06073013327 · San Diego, CA · pop 6,270 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Census tract 06073013327 covers part of the Rancho del Rey area of Chula Vista, CA, and scores 6.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,270 residents. Against San Diego County at 52.5%, 39% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 30% Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,685
Renter share48.2%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate8.8%
Median income$144,328

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Rancho del Rey
Elevated
Within parent city
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#34 of 54 tracts In Chula Vista
Low
Within county
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#531 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Low
Within state
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#5,582 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chula Vista and the region

Centroid at 32.6202, -117.0178 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rancho del Rey scores 6.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chula Vista
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
8.8% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$2,359 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chula Vista
6.3

How Rancho del Rey compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rancho del Rey risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.86.8This tracttract 013327Chula Vista: 7.87.8Chula Vistaparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 44

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Rancho del Rey. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rancho del Rey

The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 8.1/10. 20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.2/10. Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $2,359, close to the Chula Vista average.

Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $144,328. 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073013327

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073013327?

Census tract 06073013327 in the Rancho del Rey neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073013327?

Median gross rent is $2,359/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073013327?

8.8% of residents in tract 06073013327 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,270.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073013327?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 13th, minority 84th, housing 96th.
Q5

Is tract 06073013327 considered part of Rancho del Rey?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073013327 fall within Rancho del Rey (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073013327 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073013327 compare to Chula Vista overall?

Tract 06073013327 scores 6.8/10, lower than the parent city of Chula Vista at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chula Vista

Top eight tracts in Chula Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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