Neighborhood · Valrico, FL

Arista Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 5,286 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.1/10 · range 3.1–3.1

Arista is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Valrico with 1 census tract and a population of 5,286 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.1/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 45% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 19% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,972/month sits 2% higher than the Valrico citywide average ($1,937).

Risk score

3.1

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Arista vs Valrico How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

44.5% +34%

Valrico: 33.2%

Average gross rent

$1,972 +2%

Valrico: $1,937

Average HH income

$101,090 +3%

Valrico: $98,451

Poverty rate

20.0% +132%

Valrico: 8.6%

Renter share

25.8% +23%

Valrico: 21.0%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Arista and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.1–3.1

Why Arista scores 3.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts

5.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts

5.8

Rent control risk

45% of income on rent · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts

7.9

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Tenant organizing strength

26% renter households · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts

4.7

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts

6.3

Economic stress

20.0% below poverty line · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Risk score comparison

Arista vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Arista

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
12057012209	3.1	5,286	44%	$1,972

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 43

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 43%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 61%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 69%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 23%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Arista

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

246Total filings (sum)
16.60%Avg annual filing rate
14.5%Peak year (2016)
14.54%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

108Total filings 2020-21
1.5Avg monthly observed
2.2Pre-pandemic baseline
0.67×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Arista

What is the eviction-risk score for Arista?

Arista scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Arista compare to Valrico overall?

Arista scores 0.9 points higher than Valrico overall (2.2/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,972 vs $1,937.

What is the average rent in Arista?

Average gross rent in Arista is $1,972/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Arista residents are renters?

26% of Arista households are renter-occupied (vs 21% in Valrico). The neighborhood has 5,286 residents.

Is Arista a high social-vulnerability area?

Arista sits in the 43rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Arista for landlords?

Arista carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Valrico as a whole (2.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Arista?

Arista has 5,266 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (44%), Hispanic / Latino (30.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (13.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Arista

2.8 Abbey Trace 2 tracts · pop 13,939 2.3 Abbey Grove 3 tracts · pop 16,567 3.5 Brentwood Hills 2 tracts · pop 10,249 3.8 Limona 3 tracts · pop 14,731 3.9 Allendale 3 tracts · pop 12,211 4.4 Mango Hills 3 tracts · pop 13,601

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Valrico

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Arista.

2.9 Angel Run 1 tracts · pop 5,916 2.2 Erin Arbor 1 tracts · pop 5,025 2.1 Abbey Grove 3 tracts · pop 16,567 1.8 Twin Lakes of Brandon 1 tracts · pop 4,491 1.2 River Hills 1 tracts · pop 4,958

Zoom out