1 census tracts · pop 5,286 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4/10
· range 4–4
Arista maps to a single census tract in Valrico, FL, population 5,286. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4/10, Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 45% against 33.2% citywide, putting Arista 11.3% over its own city.
The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty, at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 19%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.9/10. The poverty rate is 20%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
The filing record is not thin: 246 evictions logged in this tract. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 14.5% of renter households. Among the 6 mapped neighborhoods of Valrico, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.
Judgments average 8.0% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. At 26% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. The closest comparables inside the same city are Angel Run and Abbey Grove.
Average gross rent runs $1,972, close to the Valrico average. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $101,090.
One tract means one number: 4/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Arista vs ValricoHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority69%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport23%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Arista
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
246Total filings (sum)
16.60%Avg annual filing rate
14.5%Peak year (2016)
14.54%Latest filed (2016)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
108Total filings 2020-21
1.5Avg monthly observed
2.2Pre-pandemic baseline
0.67×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).
Frequently asked
About Arista
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Arista?
Arista scores 4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Arista compare to Valrico overall?
Arista scores 0.2 points higher than Valrico overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,972 vs $1,937.
Q3
What is the average rent in Arista?
Average gross rent in Arista is $1,972/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Arista residents are renters?
26% of Arista households are renter-occupied (vs 21% in Valrico). The neighborhood has 5,286 residents.
Q5
Is Arista a high social-vulnerability area?
Arista sits in the 43rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Arista for landlords?
Arista carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Valrico as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Arista?
Arista has 5,266 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (44%), Hispanic / Latino (30.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (13.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
