1 census tracts · pop 5,025 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10
· range 3–3
Erin Arbor is a one-tract neighborhood of Valrico, FL and houses 5,025 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3/10, placing it in the Lower tier. The severe-burden share is 43%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
Against a Valrico baseline of 33.2%, 49% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Pulling the other way is eviction-process difficulty, at 1/10. Average gross rent is $2,428, 25% above the Valrico average of $1,937.
The voucher gap is 22.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.9/10.
On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.9/10. Court records for this tract carry 56 eviction filings. The worst year on record was 2009, when filings touched 44.0% of renter households.
The most recent observed rate, 5.8% in 2016, is well off that peak. That places it #4 of 6 neighborhoods in Valrico. At 14% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.
One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Erin Arbor vs ValricoHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority52%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport9%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Erin Arbor
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
56Total filings (sum)
7.91%Avg annual filing rate
44.0%Peak year (2009)
5.76%Latest filed (2016)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
64Total filings 2020-21
0.9Avg monthly observed
0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
0.97×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).
Frequently asked
About Erin Arbor
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Erin Arbor?
Erin Arbor scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Erin Arbor compare to Valrico overall?
Erin Arbor scores 0.8 points lower than Valrico overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $2,428 vs $1,937.
Q3
What is the average rent in Erin Arbor?
Average gross rent in Erin Arbor is $2,428/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Erin Arbor residents are renters?
14% of Erin Arbor households are renter-occupied (vs 21% in Valrico). The neighborhood has 5,025 residents.
Q5
Is Erin Arbor a high social-vulnerability area?
Erin Arbor sits in the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Erin Arbor for landlords?
Erin Arbor carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Valrico as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Erin Arbor?
Erin Arbor has 4,929 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (60.3%), Hispanic / Latino (19.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (8.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
