Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Varsity neighborhood Eviction Risk: Lower , University City

Tract 29189216202 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 3,533 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

29189216202 is a census tract in the Varsity neighborhood area of University City, MO. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,533 residents. 29% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the St. Louis County average of 42.0%.

Risk score

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 28% Owners 61%

Tract context

Occupied units1,680

Renter share39.2%

SVI overall0.02

Poverty rate8.4%

Median income$116,515

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across University City and the region

Centroid at 38.6533, -90.3200 · click any tract to drill in

Why Varsity neighborhood scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from University City

8.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.2

State political climate

Missouri legislature & governorship

2.1

Economic stress

8.4% poverty · this tract

2.1

Supply constraint

$1,301 rent vs county FMR

5.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from University City

1.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from University City

2.7

Housing court bias

Inherited from University City

2.1

How Varsity neighborhood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 2

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

11%Socioeconomic
1%Household composition
15%Racial/ethnic minority
18%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

99%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

82Total filings 2020-21
1.1Avg monthly (observed)
1.9Pre-pandemic baseline
0.56×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Varsity neighborhood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.0%Housing insecurity
5.3%Utility-shutoff threat
6.2%Food insecurity
4.1%SNAP enrollment
5.0%Transit barriers
4.3%No health insurance
14.3%Frequent mental distress
24.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Varsity neighborhood

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.5/10. The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.8/10. Against the St. Louis County average of 4.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points.

Housing insecurity runs 7.0% against 14.2% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.3% against 11.3% nationally.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.2/10.

Rent consumes only 13% of average household income of $116,515, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,301, close to the University City average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 29189216202

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189216202?

Census tract 29189216202 in the Varsity neighborhood neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 29189216202?

Median gross rent is $1,301/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 29189216202?

8.4% of residents in tract 29189216202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,533.

How socially vulnerable is tract 29189216202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 1th, minority 15th, housing 18th.

Is tract 29189216202 considered part of Varsity neighborhood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29189216202 fall within Varsity neighborhood (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

Did eviction filings in tract 29189216202 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.56× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 29189216202 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 29189216202 compare to University City overall?

Tract 29189216202 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of University City at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from University City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 29189216202 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in University City

Top eight tracts in University City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org