Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Federal Hill Eviction Risk: Elevated , Providence

Tract 44007001100 · Providence County, RI · pop 2,542 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Tract 44007001100 sits in the Federal Hill area of Providence eviction risk, RI, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6/10. It is home to 2,542 residents. Against Providence County at 43.2%, 25% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 51% Owners 32%

Tract context

Occupied units1,367

Renter share68.4%

SVI overall0.34

Poverty rate10.1%

Median income$96,336

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Providence and the region

Centroid at 41.8196, -71.4254 · click any tract to drill in

Why Federal Hill scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Providence

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

Rhode Island legislature & governorship

5.5

Economic stress

10.1% poverty · this tract

2.5

Supply constraint

$1,621 rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Providence

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Providence

7.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Providence

6.5

How Federal Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 34

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

26%Socioeconomic
19%Household composition
55%Racial/ethnic minority
59%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
88%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

52Total filings over 2 yrs
3.08%Avg annual filing rate
3.5%Peak (2015)
24Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

188Total filings 2020-21
2.4Avg monthly (observed)
2.4Pre-pandemic baseline
1.02×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Federal Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.0%Housing insecurity
6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
12.0%Food insecurity
9.2%SNAP enrollment
7.2%Transit barriers
6.4%No health insurance
18.3%Frequent mental distress
20.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Federal Hill

68% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 7.5/10.

Running hot, local political climate reads 7.5/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.5/10.

The filing record is not thin: 52 evictions over 2 years of observation. At $1,621 a month, rents run 15% over what the rest of Providence commands. Filings peaked in 2015 at 3.5% of renter households.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Providence. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 3.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Providence County average of 5.7 closely.

Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $96,336.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 44007001100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007001100?

Census tract 44007001100 in the Federal Hill neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 44007001100?

Median gross rent is $1,621/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 44007001100?

10.1% of residents in tract 44007001100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,542.

How socially vulnerable is tract 44007001100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 19th, minority 55th, housing 59th.

Is tract 44007001100 considered part of Federal Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007001100 fall within Federal Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007001100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 52 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007001100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.08% of renter households, peaking at 3.5% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 44007001100 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.02× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 44007001100 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 44007001100 compare to Providence overall?

Tract 44007001100 scores 6/10, lower than the parent city of Providence at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Providence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 44007001100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Providence

Top eight tracts in Providence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org