Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally

Estrella Vista Eviction Risk: Lower , Goodyear

Tract 04013061024 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,237 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Eviction risk in Estrella Vista in Goodyear centers on tract 04013061024, which scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 2,237 residents. That is riskier than about 79% of US census tracts.

About 57% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,566 monthly, set against $99,495 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 27% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 12% Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units781
Renter share27.3%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate14.3%
Median income$99,495

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Estrella Vista
Very High
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 24 tracts In Goodyear
High
Within county
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#621 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#1,243 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Goodyear and the region

Centroid at 33.4138, -112.3998 · click any tract to drill in

Why Estrella Vista scores 2.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Goodyear
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
14.3% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,566 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goodyear
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goodyear
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goodyear
5.9

How Estrella Vista compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Estrella Vista risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.62.6This tracttract 061024Goodyear: 2.52.5Goodyearparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 48

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 26Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 17.48%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.8%Peak (2005)
  • 13Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040130610242001: 2 filings (10.02/100 renter HHs)2002: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2003: 2 filings (10.02/100 renter HHs)2004: 9 filings (45.07/100 renter HHs)2005: 13 filings (4.82/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 550% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Estrella Vista. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Estrella Vista

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Goodyear eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 26 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 17.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.8% of renter households in 2005.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 48th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013061024

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061024?

Census tract 04013061024 in the Estrella Vista neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013061024?

Median gross rent is $1,566/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061024?

14.3% of residents in tract 04013061024 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,237.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061024?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 50th, minority 65th, housing 51th.
Q5

Is tract 04013061024 considered part of Estrella Vista?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061024 fall within Estrella Vista (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013061024?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 26 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 04013061024 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.48% of renter households, peaking at 4.8% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013061024 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013061024 compare to Goodyear overall?

Tract 04013061024 scores 2.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Goodyear at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goodyear eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Goodyear

Top eight tracts in Goodyear ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related