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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,252 of 84,120 nationally

Melrose District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

Tract 04013109003 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 6,402 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 04013109003 sits in the Melrose District neighborhood of Phoenix, Arizona. It has a population of 6,402 and an eviction-risk score of 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). 50% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 28% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,155/month against a median household income of $43,345 — roughly 32% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 46% Owners 9%
Tract context
Occupied units1,904
Renter share90.7%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate26.8%
Median income$43,345

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
82 th percentile
Rank — 82th percentileBottomTop
#3 of 12 tracts In Melrose District
High
Within parent city
87 th percentile
Rank — 87th percentileBottomTop
#50 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
High
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank — 87th percentileBottomTop
#136 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank — 87th percentileBottomTop
#229 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.4995, -112.1073 · click any tract to drill in

Why Melrose District scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
26.8% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$1,155 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Melrose District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Melrose District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.75.7This tracttract 109003Phoenix: 3.73.7Phoenixparent cityCounty: 5.15.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.94.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 100

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,564Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 22.00%Avg annual filing rate
  • 25.4%Peak (2001)
  • 238Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 — 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131090032001: 366 filings (25.39/100 renter HHs)2002: 308 filings (21.37/100 renter HHs)2003: 352 filings (24.42/100 renter HHs)2004: 300 filings (20.81/100 renter HHs)2005: 238 filings (18.00/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 35% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Melrose District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013109003

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013109003?

Census tract 04013109003 in the Melrose District neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013109003?

Median gross rent is $1,155/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013109003?

26.8% of residents in tract 04013109003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,402.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013109003?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 95th, minority 89th, housing 100th.

Q5

Is tract 04013109003 considered part of Melrose District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013109003 fall within Melrose District (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013109003?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,564 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013109003 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 22.00% of renter households, peaking at 25.4% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 04013109003 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.8% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 04013109003 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013109003 scores 5.7/10 — higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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