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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Melrose District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

Tract 04013117000 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 7,015 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

04013117000 is a census tract in the Melrose District area of Phoenix, AZ. It scores 5/10 for landlords. It is home to 7,015 residents. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47% Stable renters 18% Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units2,641
Renter share65.7%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate17.3%
Median income$50,968

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#2 of 12 tracts In Melrose District
Very High
Within parent city
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Very High
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#146 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#165 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.4882, -112.1061 · click any tract to drill in

Why Melrose District scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
17.3% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,167 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Melrose District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Melrose District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 117000Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,358Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 46.86%Avg annual filing rate
  • 52.2%Peak (2004)
  • 417Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131170002001: 388 filings (37.52/100 renter HHs)2002: 495 filings (47.87/100 renter HHs)2003: 518 filings (50.10/100 renter HHs)2004: 540 filings (52.22/100 renter HHs)2005: 417 filings (46.61/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Melrose District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Melrose District

roughly three in four of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. This is renter territory: 66% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. At $1,167 a month, rents run 26% under what the rest of Phoenix commands.

It sits 1.3 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7. Court records carry 2,358 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Adults with no health insurance runs 18.9% against 11.3% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2004, when 52.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 46.9% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #32,842 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.9/10. Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013117000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013117000?

Census tract 04013117000 in the Melrose District neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013117000?

Median gross rent is $1,167/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013117000?

17.3% of residents in tract 04013117000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,015.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013117000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 88th, minority 83th, housing 98th.
Q5

Is tract 04013117000 considered part of Melrose District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013117000 fall within Melrose District (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013117000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,358 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013117000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 46.86% of renter households, peaking at 52.2% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013117000 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013117000 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013117000 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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