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Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally

Country Horizons Eviction Risk: Lower , Scottsdale

Tract 04013216810 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 1,537 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

04013216810 is a census tract in the Country Horizons area of Scottsdale, AZ. It scores 3.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,537. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 34% Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,119
Renter share59.9%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate10.8%
Median income$80,046

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Country Horizons
Very High
Within parent city
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#6 of 61 tracts In Scottsdale
Very High
Within county
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#494 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Moderate
Within state
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#897 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region

Centroid at 33.5753, -111.8821 · click any tract to drill in

Why Country Horizons scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
10.8% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,626 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.0

How Country Horizons compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Country Horizons risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.43.4This tracttract 216810Scottsdale: 3.23.2Scottsdaleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 38

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 19Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 0.89%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.1%Peak (2004)
  • 3Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040132168102001: 4 filings (0.91/100 renter HHs)2002: 3 filings (0.68/100 renter HHs)2003: 4 filings (0.91/100 renter HHs)2004: 5 filings (1.13/100 renter HHs)2005: 3 filings (0.81/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 25% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Country Horizons. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Country Horizons

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10.

At $1,626 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Scottsdale commands. Housing insecurity runs 5.7% against 14.2% nationally.

The filing record is not thin: 19 evictions over 5 years of observation. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2004, when 1.1% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 0.9% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #59,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 43% of renters.

It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $80,046.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013216810

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013216810?

Census tract 04013216810 in the Country Horizons neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013216810?

Median gross rent is $1,626/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013216810?

10.8% of residents in tract 04013216810 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,537.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013216810?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 51th, minority 39th, housing 43th.
Q5

Is tract 04013216810 considered part of Country Horizons?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013216810 fall within Country Horizons (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013216810?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 19 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013216810 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.89% of renter households, peaking at 1.1% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013216810 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013216810 compare to Scottsdale overall?

Tract 04013216810 scores 3.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Scottsdale at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Scottsdale

Top eight tracts in Scottsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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