Gainey Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , Scottsdale

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

The voucher gap is 20.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Housing insecurity runs 4.1% against 14.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $2,341, 16% above the Scottsdale average.

The filing record is not thin: 165 evictions over 5 years of observation. It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2003 at 15.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 9.6% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.5/10.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.