Gainey Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , Scottsdale
Tract 04013216830 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,785 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
04013216830 is a census tract in the Gainey Ranch area of Scottsdale, AZ. It scores 3.8/10 for landlords. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region
Centroid at 33.5822, -111.9348 · click any tract to drill in
Why Gainey Ranch scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Gainey Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 41
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 41%Socioeconomic
- 16%Household composition
- 41%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 706Total filings over 5 yrs
- 21.65%Avg annual filing rate
- 27.1%Peak (2004)
- 63Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Gainey Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.0%Housing insecurity
- 5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.4%Food insecurity
- 7.5%SNAP enrollment
- 6.5%Transit barriers
- 7.9%No health insurance
- 14.2%Frequent mental distress
- 29.3%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Gainey Ranch
The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $67,303, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 706 filings here across 5 tracked years. roughly one in two of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.
SNAP participation runs 7.5% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 10.4% against 17.8% nationally. At $1,809 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Scottsdale commands.
The worst year on record was 2004, when 27.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 21.7% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 04013216830
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013216830?
What is the average rent in tract 04013216830?
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013216830?
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013216830?
Is tract 04013216830 considered part of Gainey Ranch?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013216830?
What share of households in tract 04013216830 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 04013216830 compare to Scottsdale overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Scottsdale
Top eight tracts in Scottsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.