Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Alexandria Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 51510201601 · Alexandria city, VA · pop 3,100 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 51510201601 sits in the Alexandria Historic District area of Alexandria eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.3/10. 22% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Alexandria City average of 41.2%.

Risk score

5.3

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 30% Owners 61%

Tract context

Occupied units1,511

Renter share39.0%

SVI overall0.11

Poverty rate8.1%

Median income$164,391

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Alexandria and the region

Centroid at 38.8096, -77.0523 · click any tract to drill in

Why Alexandria Historic District scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Alexandria

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

8.1% poverty · this tract

2.0

Supply constraint

$2,671 rent vs county FMR

6.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Alexandria

3.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Alexandria

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Alexandria

5.5

How Alexandria Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 11

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

7%Socioeconomic
10%Household composition
45%Racial/ethnic minority
33%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Alexandria Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.3%Housing insecurity
4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
7.3%Food insecurity
5.6%SNAP enrollment
4.9%Transit barriers
5.1%No health insurance
14.6%Frequent mental distress
20.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Alexandria Historic District

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.4/10. Average gross rent is $2,671, 28% above the Alexandria average.

Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8/10. Food insecurity runs 7.3% against 17.8% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 5.6% against 15.2% nationally. The voucher gap is 15.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Nationally it ranks #28,095 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2/10. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Alexandria City average of 5.7 closely. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $164,391.

39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51510201601

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51510201601?

Census tract 51510201601 in the Alexandria Historic District neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51510201601?

Median gross rent is $2,671/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51510201601?

8.1% of residents in tract 51510201601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,100.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51510201601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 10th, minority 45th, housing 33th.

Is tract 51510201601 considered part of Alexandria Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51510201601 fall within Alexandria Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51510201601 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51510201601 compare to Alexandria overall?

Tract 51510201601 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Alexandria at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alexandria eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Alexandria

Top eight tracts in Alexandria ranked by composite eviction-risk score.