Neighborhood · Ranked #76,223 of 84,120 nationally

Alexandria Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 51510201805 · Alexandria city, VA · pop 3,542 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Here is how census tract 51510201805, in Alexandria Historic District in Alexandria eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 5.9/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 3,542. On the national scale it ranks #25,099 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

39% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,396 a month against an average household income of $150,272 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 50% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

1.8

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 31% Owners 49%

Tract context

Occupied units2,485

Renter share50.3%

SVI overall0.14

Poverty rate6.7%

Median income$150,272

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Alexandria and the region

Centroid at 38.8149, -77.0420 · click any tract to drill in

Why Alexandria Historic District scores 1.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Alexandria

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

6.7% poverty · this tract

1.7

Supply constraint

$2,396 rent vs county FMR

5.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Alexandria

3.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Alexandria

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Alexandria

5.5

How Alexandria Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 14

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

7%Socioeconomic
10%Household composition
45%Racial/ethnic minority
47%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Alexandria Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

5.5%Housing insecurity
3.7%Utility-shutoff threat
6.0%Food insecurity
4.5%SNAP enrollment
4.0%Transit barriers
4.8%No health insurance
12.2%Frequent mental distress
24.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Alexandria Historic District

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Alexandria eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Alexandria City County average of 5.9 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 14th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51510201805

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51510201805?

Census tract 51510201805 in the Alexandria Historic District neighborhood scores 1.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51510201805?

Median gross rent is $2,396/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51510201805?

6.7% of residents in tract 51510201805 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,542.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51510201805?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 10th, minority 45th, housing 47th.

Is tract 51510201805 considered part of Alexandria Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51510201805 fall within Alexandria Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51510201805 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51510201805 compare to Alexandria overall?

Tract 51510201805 scores 1.8/10, lower than the parent city of Alexandria at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alexandria eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Alexandria

Top eight tracts in Alexandria ranked by composite eviction-risk score.