Neighborhood · Dale City, VA

Mapledale Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 6,079 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.8/10 · range 1.8–1.8

Mapledale is a hispanic-white neighborhood in Dale City with 1 census tract and a population of 6,079 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.8/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 23% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 16% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,095/month sits 12% higher than the Dale City citywide average ($1,876).

Risk score

1.8

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Mapledale vs Dale City How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

23.2% -29%

Dale City: 32.6%

Average gross rent

$2,095 +12%

Dale City: $1,876

Average HH income

$128,209 +8%

Dale City: $118,975

Poverty rate

5.9% -12%

Dale City: 6.7%

Renter share

19.6% -5%

Dale City: 20.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mapledale and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 1.8–1.8

Why Mapledale scores 1.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts

6.4

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts

6.7

Rent control risk

23% of income on rent · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts

1.7

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts

3.4

Tenant organizing strength

20% renter households · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Economic stress

5.9% below poverty line · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts

4.1

Risk score comparison

Mapledale vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Mapledale

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51153901227	1.8	6,079	23%	$2,095

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 44

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 41%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 57%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 80%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 25%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Mapledale

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

11Total filings (sum)
5.58%Avg annual filing rate
5.6%Peak year (2016)
5.58%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Mapledale

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

15.1%Housing insecurity
8.2%Utility shutoff threat
17.8%Food insecurity
12.0%SNAP enrollment
15.7%No health insurance
31.1%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Mapledale

What is the eviction-risk score for Mapledale?

Mapledale scores 1.8/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Mapledale compare to Dale City overall?

Mapledale scores 1.9 points lower than Dale City overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 23% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $2,095 vs $1,876.

What is the average rent in Mapledale?

Average gross rent in Mapledale is $2,095/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Mapledale residents are renters?

20% of Mapledale households are renter-occupied (vs 21% in Dale City). The neighborhood has 6,079 residents.

Is Mapledale a high social-vulnerability area?

Mapledale sits in the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Mapledale for landlords?

Mapledale carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Dale City as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Mapledale?

Mapledale has 6,181 residents (Hispanic-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (44.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (25%), Black (non-Hispanic) (18.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Mapledale

1.7 Kerrydale 2 tracts · pop 12,361 1.1 Southlake 2 tracts · pop 12,342 2 The Heights 5 tracts · pop 26,016 2.7 Marumsco Hills 2 tracts · pop 8,902 1.9 Potomac Town Center 2 tracts · pop 12,160 2.1 Spyglass Hill 2 tracts · pop 8,989

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Dale City

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Mapledale.

1.9 Neabsco Hills 1 tracts · pop 5,334 1.7 Ridgedale 1 tracts · pop 4,766 1.6 Kerrydale 2 tracts · pop 12,361 2 Princedale 1 tracts · pop 4,116 2 Cloverdale 1 tracts · pop 5,003 1.5 Queensdale 1 tracts · pop 6,384

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