Neighborhood · Gainesville, VA

Saranac Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 6,030 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 4.9-4.9

Saranac is a diverse neighborhood in Gainesville with 1 census tract and a population of 6,030 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 49% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 23% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,700/month sits 18% higher than the Gainesville citywide average ($2,283).

Risk score

4.9

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Saranac vs Gainesville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

48.5% +53%

Gainesville: 31.7%

Average gross rent

$2,700 +18%

Gainesville: $2,283

Average HH income

$193,869 +15%

Gainesville: $168,978

Poverty rate

3.3% -16%

Gainesville: 3.9%

Renter share

3.4% -79%

Gainesville: 16.5%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Saranac and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.9-4.9

Why Saranac scores 4.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2-3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4-6.4 across tracts

6.4

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.6-6.6 across tracts

6.6

Rent control risk

49% of income on rent · Range 6.8-6.8 across tracts

6.8

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.2-3.2 across tracts

3.2

Tenant organizing strength

3% renter households · Range 3.9-3.9 across tracts

3.9

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.8-4.8 across tracts

4.8

Economic stress

3.3% below poverty line · Range 1.0-1.0 across tracts

1.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.7-6.7 across tracts

6.7

Risk score comparison

Saranac vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0-10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Saranac

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51153901411	4.9	6,030	48%	$2,700

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 8

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 7%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 16%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 55%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 12%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Saranac

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

9Total filings (sum)
4.86%Avg annual filing rate
4.9%Peak year (2016)
4.86%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Saranac

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

6.6%Housing insecurity
4.2%Utility shutoff threat
7.1%Food insecurity
4.5%SNAP enrollment
5.3%No health insurance
23.4%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Saranac

What is the eviction-risk score for Saranac?

Saranac scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Saranac compare to Gainesville overall?

Saranac scores 0.3 points lower than Gainesville overall (5.2/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,700 vs $2,283.

What is the average rent in Saranac?

Average gross rent in Saranac is $2,700/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Saranac residents are renters?

3% of Saranac households are renter-occupied (vs 16% in Gainesville). The neighborhood has 6,030 residents.

Is Saranac a high social-vulnerability area?

Saranac sits in the 8th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Saranac for landlords?

Saranac carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Gainesville as a whole (5.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

What is the demographic breakdown of Saranac?

Saranac has 5,901 residents (Diverse Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (59.3%), Hispanic / Latino (15.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (13.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Saranac

5.4 Iron Gate 2 tracts · pop 9,000 4.7 Kerrydale 2 tracts · pop 12,361 4.7 Southlake 2 tracts · pop 12,342 5.5 The Heights 5 tracts · pop 26,016 6 Marumsco Hills 2 tracts · pop 8,902 6.3 Marumsco Village 3 tracts · pop 10,059

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Gainesville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Saranac.

4.9 Waterfall Village 1 tracts · pop 7,727 4.9 Crossroads Village 1 tracts · pop 2,874 5.2 Amberleigh Station 1 tracts · pop 5,416 5.9 Carolina Chase 1 tracts · pop 5,770

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