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Neighborhood · Gainesville, VA

Saranac Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 6,030 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Saranac maps to a single census tract in Gainesville, VA, population 6,030. The Eviction Risk Score is 3/10, in the Lower tier. roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly above the Gainesville rate of 31.7%.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 23%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Average gross rent is $2,700, 18% above the Gainesville average of $2,283.

The voucher gap is 16.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. The filing record is not thin: 9 evictions logged in this tract.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.6% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 4.9% of renter households.

5.3% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Among the 5 mapped neighborhoods of Gainesville, it ranks #4 by risk, the lower third.

Judgments average 3.2% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. At 3% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. For a like-for-like read, Amberleigh Station and Waterfall Village score within a fraction of it.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Saranac vs Gainesville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
48.5% +53%
Gainesville: 31.7%
Average gross rent
$2,700 +18%
Gainesville: $2,283
Average HH income
$193,869 +15%
Gainesville: $168,978
Poverty rate
3.3% -16%
Gainesville: 3.9%
Renter share
3.4% -79%
Gainesville: 16.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Saranac and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Saranac scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Rent control risk
49% of income on rent · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
3% renter households · Range 3.9–3.9 across tracts
3.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts
4.8
Economic stress
3.3% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Risk score comparison

Saranac vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Saranac score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0SaranacNeighborhood3.8Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Saranac

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51153901411 3 6,030 48% $2,700
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 8

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 7%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 16%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 55%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 12%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Saranac

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 9Total filings (sum)
  • 4.86%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.9%Peak year (2016)
  • 4.86%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Saranac

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Saranac

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Saranac?

Saranac scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Saranac compare to Gainesville overall?

Saranac scores 0.8 points lower than Gainesville overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,700 vs $2,283.
Q3

What is the average rent in Saranac?

Average gross rent in Saranac is $2,700/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Saranac residents are renters?

3% of Saranac households are renter-occupied (vs 16% in Gainesville). The neighborhood has 6,030 residents.
Q5

Is Saranac a high social-vulnerability area?

Saranac sits in the 8th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Saranac for landlords?

Saranac carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Gainesville as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Saranac?

Saranac has 5,901 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (59.3%), Hispanic / Latino (15.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (13.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Saranac

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Gainesville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Saranac.

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