Neighborhood · Lake Ridge, VA

Holly Ridge Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 6,449 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.1/10 · range 6.1-6.1

Holly Ridge is a white-black neighborhood in Lake Ridge with 1 census tract and a population of 6,449 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.1/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 57% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 27% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,935/month sits 5% lower than the Lake Ridge citywide average ($2,033).

Risk score

6.1

Elevated

1 tracts · population-weighted

Holly Ridge vs Lake Ridge How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

57.2% +112%

Lake Ridge: 27.0%

Average gross rent

$1,935 -5%

Lake Ridge: $2,033

Average HH income

$102,325 -15%

Lake Ridge: $120,844

Poverty rate

8.5% +47%

Lake Ridge: 5.8%

Renter share

42.6% +81%

Lake Ridge: 23.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Holly Ridge and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.1-6.1

Why Holly Ridge scores 6.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2-3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4-6.4 across tracts

6.4

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.4-7.4 across tracts

7.4

Rent control risk

57% of income on rent · Range 5.0-5.0 across tracts

5.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.4-3.4 across tracts

3.4

Tenant organizing strength

43% renter households · Range 5.4-5.4 across tracts

5.4

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.2-4.2 across tracts

4.2

Economic stress

8.5% below poverty line · Range 2.1-2.1 across tracts

2.1

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.4-3.4 across tracts

3.4

Risk score comparison

Holly Ridge vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0-10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Holly Ridge

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51153901221	6.1	6,449	57%	$1,935

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 34

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 44%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 28%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 73%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 20%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Holly Ridge

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

121Total filings (sum)
17.95%Avg annual filing rate
18.0%Peak year (2016)
17.95%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Holly Ridge

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

12.4%Housing insecurity
8.0%Utility shutoff threat
13.5%Food insecurity
10.5%SNAP enrollment
9.0%No health insurance
28.2%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Holly Ridge

What is the eviction-risk score for Holly Ridge?

Holly Ridge scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Holly Ridge compare to Lake Ridge overall?

Holly Ridge scores 0.9 points higher than Lake Ridge overall (5.2/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $1,935 vs $2,033.

What is the average rent in Holly Ridge?

Average gross rent in Holly Ridge is $1,935/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Holly Ridge residents are renters?

43% of Holly Ridge households are renter-occupied (vs 24% in Lake Ridge). The neighborhood has 6,449 residents.

Is Holly Ridge a high social-vulnerability area?

Holly Ridge sits in the 34th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Holly Ridge for landlords?

Holly Ridge carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lake Ridge as a whole (5.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Holly Ridge?

Holly Ridge has 6,410 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (42.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (34.2%), Hispanic / Latino (9.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Holly Ridge

5.5 The Heights 5 tracts · pop 26,016 4.7 Kerrydale 2 tracts · pop 12,361 6.3 Marumsco Village 3 tracts · pop 10,059 6 Marumsco Hills 2 tracts · pop 8,902 6.4 Jefferson Plaza 2 tracts · pop 8,175 6.2 Potomac Town Center 2 tracts · pop 12,160

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lake Ridge

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Holly Ridge.

5.5 The Heights 5 tracts · pop 26,016 5.3 Windsor Park 1 tracts · pop 2,982 5.3 Highland Chase 1 tracts · pop 4,961 4.8 Lakepointe 1 tracts · pop 6,419 4.1 Forest Ridge 1 tracts · pop 3,004

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