1 census tracts · pop 7,089 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.6/10
· range 4.6–4.6
Evansdale is a one-tract neighborhood of Dale City, VA and houses 7,089 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.6/10, Moderate tier. Cost burden runs about half against 32.6% citywide, putting Evansdale 19.6% over its own city.
The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.6/10. On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.7/10.
Running cool is tenant-organizing strength, at 2/10. Court records for this tract carry 90 eviction filings.
At $1,629 a month, rents sit 13% under what the rest of Dale City commands. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 6.5% of renter households. That places it #2 of 12 neighborhoods in Dale City.
Judgments average 2.1% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. For a like-for-like read, Brightwood Forest and Forestdale score within a fraction of it.
Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $71,250.
52% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.6/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Evansdale vs Dale CityHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority86%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport39%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Evansdale
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
90Total filings (sum)
6.50%Avg annual filing rate
6.5%Peak year (2016)
6.50%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Evansdale
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
17.4%Housing insecurity
10.4%Utility shutoff threat
19.8%Food insecurity
14.8%SNAP enrollment
14.0%No health insurance
30.9%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Evansdale
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Evansdale?
Evansdale scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Evansdale compare to Dale City overall?
Evansdale scores 1.2 points higher than Dale City overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 52% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,629 vs $1,876.
Q3
What is the average rent in Evansdale?
Average gross rent in Evansdale is $1,629/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Evansdale residents are renters?
52% of Evansdale households are renter-occupied (vs 21% in Dale City). The neighborhood has 7,089 residents.
Q5
Is Evansdale a high social-vulnerability area?
Evansdale sits in the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Evansdale for landlords?
Evansdale carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Dale City as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Evansdale?
Evansdale has 6,916 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (34.6%), Hispanic / Latino (33.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (14.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
