Neighborhood · Dale City, VA

Evansdale Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 7,089 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Evansdale is a black-hispanic neighborhood in Dale City with 1 census tract and a population of 7,089 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 52% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 6% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,629/month sits 13% lower than the Dale City citywide average ($1,876).

Risk score

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Evansdale vs Dale City How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

52.2% +60%

Dale City: 32.6%

Average gross rent

$1,629 -13%

Dale City: $1,876

Average HH income

$71,250 -40%

Dale City: $118,975

Poverty rate

6.4% -4%

Dale City: 6.7%

Renter share

52.0% +151%

Dale City: 20.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Evansdale and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Evansdale scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts

6.4

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts

6.7

Rent control risk

52% of income on rent · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts

1.7

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts

3.4

Tenant organizing strength

52% renter households · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Economic stress

6.4% below poverty line · Range 1.6–1.6 across tracts

1.6

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Risk score comparison

Evansdale vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Evansdale

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51153900407	3	7,089	52%	$1,629

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 69

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 78%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 55%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 86%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 39%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Evansdale

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

90Total filings (sum)
6.50%Avg annual filing rate
6.5%Peak year (2016)
6.50%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Evansdale

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

17.4%Housing insecurity
10.4%Utility shutoff threat
19.8%Food insecurity
14.8%SNAP enrollment
14.0%No health insurance
30.9%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Evansdale

What is the eviction-risk score for Evansdale?

Evansdale scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Evansdale compare to Dale City overall?

Evansdale scores 0.7 points lower than Dale City overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 52% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,629 vs $1,876.

What is the average rent in Evansdale?

Average gross rent in Evansdale is $1,629/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Evansdale residents are renters?

52% of Evansdale households are renter-occupied (vs 21% in Dale City). The neighborhood has 7,089 residents.

Is Evansdale a high social-vulnerability area?

Evansdale sits in the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Evansdale for landlords?

Evansdale carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Dale City as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Evansdale?

Evansdale has 6,916 residents (Black-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (34.6%), Hispanic / Latino (33.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (14.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Evansdale

1.1 Southlake 2 tracts · pop 12,342 1.7 Kerrydale 2 tracts · pop 12,361 2 The Heights 5 tracts · pop 26,016 1.9 Potomac Town Center 2 tracts · pop 12,160 2.1 Spyglass Hill 2 tracts · pop 8,989 2.7 Marumsco Hills 2 tracts · pop 8,902

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Dale City

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Evansdale.

2.9 Brightwood Forest 1 tracts · pop 5,891 3.4 Forestdale 1 tracts · pop 5,702 2.3 Daleview Manor 1 tracts · pop 3,536 2.1 Silverdale 1 tracts · pop 6,578 2 Princedale 1 tracts · pop 4,116 2 Cloverdale 1 tracts · pop 5,003

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