Neighborhood · Lake Ridge, VA

Forest Ridge Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,004 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10 · range 4.1-4.1

Forest Ridge is a diverse neighborhood in Lake Ridge with 1 census tract and a population of 3,004 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 0% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 0% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,694/month sits 33% higher than the Lake Ridge citywide average ($2,033).

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Forest Ridge vs Lake Ridge How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

0.0% -100%

Lake Ridge: 27.0%

Average gross rent

$2,694 +33%

Lake Ridge: $2,033

Average HH income

$174,091 +44%

Lake Ridge: $120,844

Poverty rate

0.5% -91%

Lake Ridge: 5.8%

Renter share

5.0% -79%

Lake Ridge: 23.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Forest Ridge and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.1-4.1

Why Forest Ridge scores 4.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2-3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4-6.4 across tracts

6.4

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.4-7.4 across tracts

7.4

Rent control risk

0% of income on rent · Range 5.0-5.0 across tracts

5.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.4-3.4 across tracts

3.4

Tenant organizing strength

5% renter households · Range 5.4-5.4 across tracts

5.4

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.2-4.2 across tracts

4.2

Economic stress

0.5% below poverty line · Range 1.0-1.0 across tracts

1.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.6-6.6 across tracts

6.6

Risk score comparison

Forest Ridge vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0-10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Forest Ridge

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51153901235	4.1	3,004	0%	$2,694

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 1

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 0%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 16%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 51%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 1%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Forest Ridge

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

7Total filings (sum)
6.93%Avg annual filing rate
6.9%Peak year (2016)
6.93%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Forest Ridge

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

7.4%Housing insecurity
4.7%Utility shutoff threat
7.3%Food insecurity
4.8%SNAP enrollment
5.2%No health insurance
21.9%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Forest Ridge

What is the eviction-risk score for Forest Ridge?

Forest Ridge scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Forest Ridge compare to Lake Ridge overall?

Forest Ridge scores 1.1 points lower than Lake Ridge overall (5.2/10). Renters spend 0% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $2,694 vs $2,033.

What is the average rent in Forest Ridge?

Average gross rent in Forest Ridge is $2,694/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 0% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Forest Ridge residents are renters?

5% of Forest Ridge households are renter-occupied (vs 24% in Lake Ridge). The neighborhood has 3,004 residents.

Is Forest Ridge a high social-vulnerability area?

Forest Ridge sits in the 1st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Forest Ridge for landlords?

Forest Ridge carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lake Ridge as a whole (5.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Forest Ridge?

Forest Ridge has 2,875 residents (Diverse Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (52.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (19.8%), Other / Multiracial (11.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Forest Ridge

4.7 Kerrydale 2 tracts · pop 12,361 5.5 The Heights 5 tracts · pop 26,016 6.3 Marumsco Village 3 tracts · pop 10,059 6 Marumsco Hills 2 tracts · pop 8,902 6.4 Jefferson Plaza 2 tracts · pop 8,175 4.7 Southlake 2 tracts · pop 12,342

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lake Ridge

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Forest Ridge.

4.8 Lakepointe 1 tracts · pop 6,419 5.3 Highland Chase 1 tracts · pop 4,961 5.3 Windsor Park 1 tracts · pop 2,982 5.5 The Heights 5 tracts · pop 26,016 6.1 Holly Ridge 1 tracts · pop 6,449

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