Skip to content
Neighborhood · Lake Ridge, VA

Forest Ridge Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,004 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.2/10 · range 3.2–3.2

Forest Ridge is a one-tract neighborhood of Lake Ridge, VA and houses 3,004 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.2/10, in the Lower tier. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1/10.

At $2,694 a month, rents sit 33% over what the rest of Lake Ridge commands. The voucher gap is 16.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

The filing record is not thin: 7 evictions logged in this tract. Food insecurity affects 7.3% of adults, 10.5 points below the national rate.

Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 6.9% of renter households. 5.2% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. That places it #5 of 6 neighborhoods in Lake Ridge.

Judgments average 3.0% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Only 5% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. The closest comparables inside the same city are Lakepointe and Highland Chase.

Rent takes 19% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

One tract means one number: 3.2/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Forest Ridge vs Lake Ridge How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
0.0% -100%
Lake Ridge: 27.0%
Average gross rent
$2,694 +33%
Lake Ridge: $2,033
Average HH income
$174,091 +44%
Lake Ridge: $120,844
Poverty rate
0.5% -91%
Lake Ridge: 5.8%
Renter share
5.0% -79%
Lake Ridge: 23.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Forest Ridge and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.2–3.2

Why Forest Ridge scores 3.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Rent control risk
0% of income on rent · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
5% renter households · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Economic stress
0.5% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Risk score comparison

Forest Ridge vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Forest Ridge score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.2Forest RidgeNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Forest Ridge

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51153901235 3.2 3,004 0% $2,694
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 1

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 0%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 16%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 51%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 1%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Forest Ridge

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 7Total filings (sum)
  • 6.93%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.9%Peak year (2016)
  • 6.93%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Forest Ridge

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Forest Ridge

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Forest Ridge?

Forest Ridge scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Forest Ridge compare to Lake Ridge overall?

Forest Ridge scores 0.8 points lower than Lake Ridge overall (4/10). Renters spend 0% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $2,694 vs $2,033.
Q3

What is the average rent in Forest Ridge?

Average gross rent in Forest Ridge is $2,694/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 0% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Forest Ridge residents are renters?

5% of Forest Ridge households are renter-occupied (vs 24% in Lake Ridge). The neighborhood has 3,004 residents.
Q5

Is Forest Ridge a high social-vulnerability area?

Forest Ridge sits in the 1st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Forest Ridge for landlords?

Forest Ridge carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lake Ridge as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Forest Ridge?

Forest Ridge has 2,875 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (52.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (19.8%), Other / Multiracial (11.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Forest Ridge

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lake Ridge

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Forest Ridge.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further