1 census tracts · pop 8,377 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10
· range 4.7–4.7
Bull Run East maps to a single census tract in Sudley, VA and houses 8,377 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.7/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 49% against 33.6% citywide, putting Bull Run East 15.6% over its own city.
The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 24%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 8.3/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 8.1/10. Court records for this tract carry 104 eviction filings.
The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 9.8% of renter households. Judgments average 3.3% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.
Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent runs $2,135, close to the Sudley average.
Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $96,203. 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
One tract means one number: 4.7/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Bull Run East vs SudleyHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority79%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport19%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Bull Run East
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
104Total filings (sum)
9.82%Avg annual filing rate
9.8%Peak year (2016)
9.82%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bull Run East
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
14.6%Housing insecurity
8.2%Utility shutoff threat
16.7%Food insecurity
11.4%SNAP enrollment
14.7%No health insurance
29.8%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Bull Run East
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Bull Run East?
Bull Run East scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Bull Run East compare to Sudley overall?
Bull Run East scores 0.2 points higher than Sudley overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $2,135 vs $2,139.
Q3
What is the average rent in Bull Run East?
Average gross rent in Bull Run East is $2,135/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Bull Run East residents are renters?
39% of Bull Run East households are renter-occupied (vs 38% in Sudley). The neighborhood has 8,377 residents.
Q5
Is Bull Run East a high social-vulnerability area?
Bull Run East sits in the 37th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Bull Run East for landlords?
Bull Run East carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Sudley as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Bull Run East?
Bull Run East has 7,912 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (48.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (31.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (11.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
