Neighborhood · Dale City, VA

Forestdale Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 5,702 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.4/10 · range 3.4–3.4

Forestdale is a diverse neighborhood in Dale City with 1 census tract and a population of 5,702 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.4/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 64% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 3% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,818/month sits 3% lower than the Dale City citywide average ($1,876).

Risk score

3.4

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Forestdale vs Dale City How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

64.2% +97%

Dale City: 32.6%

Average gross rent

$1,818 -3%

Dale City: $1,876

Average HH income

$89,350 -25%

Dale City: $118,975

Poverty rate

16.8% +152%

Dale City: 6.7%

Renter share

21.4% +3%

Dale City: 20.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Forestdale and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.4–3.4

Why Forestdale scores 3.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts

6.4

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts

6.7

Rent control risk

64% of income on rent · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts

1.7

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts

3.4

Tenant organizing strength

21% renter households · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Economic stress

16.8% below poverty line · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts

4.2

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts

2.9

Risk score comparison

Forestdale vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Forestdale

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51153900404	3.4	5,702	64%	$1,818

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 79

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 92%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 76%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 88%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 29%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Forestdale

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

40Total filings (sum)
9.59%Avg annual filing rate
9.6%Peak year (2016)
9.59%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Forestdale

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

19.9%Housing insecurity
11.8%Utility shutoff threat
25.0%Food insecurity
19.4%SNAP enrollment
20.3%No health insurance
36.0%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Forestdale

What is the eviction-risk score for Forestdale?

Forestdale scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Forestdale compare to Dale City overall?

Forestdale scores 0.3 points lower than Dale City overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 64% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,818 vs $1,876.

What is the average rent in Forestdale?

Average gross rent in Forestdale is $1,818/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Forestdale residents are renters?

21% of Forestdale households are renter-occupied (vs 21% in Dale City). The neighborhood has 5,702 residents.

Is Forestdale a high social-vulnerability area?

Forestdale sits in the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Forestdale for landlords?

Forestdale carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Dale City as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Forestdale?

Forestdale has 5,893 residents (Diverse Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (57.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (18%), Black (non-Hispanic) (11%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Forestdale

1.7 Kerrydale 2 tracts · pop 12,361 2 The Heights 5 tracts · pop 26,016 1.9 Potomac Town Center 2 tracts · pop 12,160 2.7 Marumsco Hills 2 tracts · pop 8,902 1.1 Southlake 2 tracts · pop 12,342 2.1 Spyglass Hill 2 tracts · pop 8,989

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Dale City

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Forestdale.

3 Evansdale 1 tracts · pop 7,089 2.9 Brightwood Forest 1 tracts · pop 5,891 2.3 Daleview Manor 1 tracts · pop 3,536 2.1 Silverdale 1 tracts · pop 6,578 2 Princedale 1 tracts · pop 4,116 2 Cloverdale 1 tracts · pop 5,003

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