Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Fuller Ranch Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mesa
Tract 04013421601 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,077 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
With a score of 4.6/10, tract 04013421601 in the Fuller Ranch area of Mesa, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,077 residents. 27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units917
Renter share46.1%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate27.4%
Median income$74,442
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
84
th percentile
High
Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.4189, -111.7967 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fuller Ranch scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
27.4% poverty · this tract
6.8
Supply constraint
$1,401 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
How Fuller Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 85%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 513Total filings over 5 yrs
- 26.53%Avg annual filing rate
- 33.5%Peak (2001)
- 92Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 31% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Fuller Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.3%Housing insecurity
- 11.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.5%Food insecurity
- 20.0%SNAP enrollment
- 13.4%Transit barriers
- 21.2%No health insurance
- 18.0%Frequent mental distress
- 34.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fuller Ranch
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
Cost burden runs 57% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 21.2% against 11.3% nationally. Food insecurity runs 26.5% against 17.8% nationally.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 513 filings here across 5 tracked years. It sits 0.9 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7.
Average gross rent is $1,401, 14% below the Mesa average. Filings peaked in 2001 at 33.5% of renter households.
In a typical year about 26.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013421601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013421601?
Census tract 04013421601 in the Fuller Ranch neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013421601?
Median gross rent is $1,401/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013421601?
27.4% of residents in tract 04013421601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,077.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013421601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 85th, minority 69th, housing 98th.
Q5
Is tract 04013421601 considered part of Fuller Ranch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013421601 fall within Fuller Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013421601?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 513 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013421601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 26.53% of renter households, peaking at 33.5% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013421601 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013421601 compare to Mesa overall?
Tract 04013421601 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Culdesac Tempe
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Buckhorn
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Velda Rose Estates
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422106
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422107
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Arizona Cowboy
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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