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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Estrella Mountain Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , Goodyear

Tract 04013723307 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,341 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 04013723307 sits in the Estrella Mountain Ranch area of Goodyear eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 2,341. Severe burden reaches 31%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 5% Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,002
Renter share8.5%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate4.8%
Median income$129,286

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Estrella Mountain Ranch
Very High
Within parent city
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 24 tracts In Goodyear
Moderate
Within county
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#920 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Goodyear and the region

Centroid at 33.3693, -112.4319 · click any tract to drill in

Why Estrella Mountain Ranch scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Goodyear
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
4.8% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$2,019 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goodyear
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goodyear
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goodyear
5.9

How Estrella Mountain Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Estrella Mountain Ranch risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 723307Goodyear: 4.04.0Goodyearparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 9

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 4Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 10.92%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.0%Peak (2002)
  • 1Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040137233072001: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2002: 1 filings (13.99/100 renter HHs)2003: 1 filings (13.99/100 renter HHs)2004: 1 filings (13.99/100 renter HHs)2005: 1 filings (1.70/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Estrella Mountain Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Estrella Mountain Ranch

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.2/10.

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. SNAP participation runs 6.1% against 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 9.1% against 17.8% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 4 filings here across 4 tracked years. It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7.

Filings peaked in 2002 at 14.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 10.9% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 8% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.8/10.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013723307

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013723307?

Census tract 04013723307 in the Estrella Mountain Ranch neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013723307?

Median gross rent is $2,019/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013723307?

4.8% of residents in tract 04013723307 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,341.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013723307?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 31th, minority 50th, housing 3th.
Q5

Is tract 04013723307 considered part of Estrella Mountain Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013723307 fall within Estrella Mountain Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013723307?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 4 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 04013723307 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.92% of renter households, peaking at 14.0% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013723307 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013723307 compare to Goodyear overall?

Tract 04013723307 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Goodyear at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goodyear eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Goodyear

Top eight tracts in Goodyear ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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