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Neighborhood · Ranked #69,776 of 84,120 nationally

Main Street Arts District Eviction Risk: Lower , Scottsdale

Tract 04013217600 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,380 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Tract 04013217600, home to 5,380 residents in the Main Street Arts District neighborhood of Scottsdale, scores 4.1/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 15% of US census tracts.

About 29% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,575 a month while the average household earns $82,653 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 53% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
2.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 38% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units2,833
Renter share53.2%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate5.1%
Median income$82,653

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Main Street Arts District
Elevated
Within parent city
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 61 tracts In Scottsdale
Elevated
Within county
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#728 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#1,375 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region

Centroid at 33.4861, -111.9159 · click any tract to drill in

Why Main Street Arts District scores 2.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
5.1% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,575 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.0

How Main Street Arts District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Main Street Arts District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.32.3This tracttract 217600Scottsdale: 2.32.3Scottsdaleparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 50

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,141Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 13.09%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.1%Peak (2002)
  • 204Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040132176002001: 217 filings (11.87/100 renter HHs)2002: 294 filings (16.08/100 renter HHs)2003: 205 filings (11.21/100 renter HHs)2004: 221 filings (12.09/100 renter HHs)2005: 204 filings (14.20/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Main Street Arts District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Main Street Arts District

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 3.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and below the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013217600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013217600?

Census tract 04013217600 in the Main Street Arts District neighborhood scores 2.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013217600?

Median gross rent is $1,575/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013217600?

5.1% of residents in tract 04013217600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,380.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013217600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 5th, minority 49th, housing 87th.
Q5

Is tract 04013217600 considered part of Main Street Arts District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013217600 fall within Main Street Arts District (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013217600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,141 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013217600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.09% of renter households, peaking at 16.1% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013217600 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013217600 compare to Scottsdale overall?

Tract 04013217600 scores 2.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Scottsdale at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Scottsdale

Top eight tracts in Scottsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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