Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Poet's Square Eviction Risk: Lower , Tucson
Tract 04019003201 ·
Pima, AZ · pop 3,173 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 04019003201 sits in the Poet's Square area of Tucson eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%Stable renters 25%Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,271
Renter share38.2%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate8.8%
Median income$83,304
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#5 of 5 tracts In Poet's Square
Very Low
Within parent city
7th percentile
#133 of 143 tracts In Tucson
Very Low
Within county
21th percentile
#213 of 270 tracts In Pima
Low
Within state
40th percentile
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2283, -110.8964 · click any tract to drill in
Why Poet's Square scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
8.8% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,107 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Poet's Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 40
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
36%Socioeconomic
73%Household composition
59%Racial/ethnic minority
21%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Poet's Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
8.6%Housing insecurity
5.9%Utility-shutoff threat
10.1%Food insecurity
7.0%SNAP enrollment
6.5%Transit barriers
8.7%No health insurance
15.4%Frequent mental distress
28.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Poet's Square
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. roughly one in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Pima County average of 43.8%.
Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Against the Pima County average of 3.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points.
SNAP participation runs 7.0% against 15.2% nationally. Severe burden reaches 8%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Food insecurity runs 10.1% against 17.8% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Against average income of $83,304, annual rent is just 16%. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019003201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019003201?
Census tract 04019003201 in the Poet's Square neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019003201?
Median gross rent is $1,107/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019003201?
8.8% of residents in tract 04019003201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,173.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019003201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 73th, minority 59th, housing 21th.
Q5
Is tract 04019003201 considered part of Poet's Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019003201 fall within Poet's Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04019003201 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04019003201 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019003201 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.