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Neighborhood · Visalia, CA

Covington Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 5,516 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10 · range 5.2–5.2

Covington Park maps to a single census tract in Visalia, CA, population 5,516. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.2/10, in the Moderate tier. The voucher gap is 34.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

Against a Visalia baseline of 30.1%, 40% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. The strongest single driver of the headline number is supply constraint at 8.5/10.

Average gross rent is $1,923, 29% above the Visalia average of $1,490. The severe-burden share is 19%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10. Running cool is economic stress, at 2.1/10.

Among the 21 mapped neighborhoods of Visalia, it ranks #14 by risk, the lower third. For a like-for-like read, Linwood Ranch and McAuliff Ranch score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $90,429. 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 5.2/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Covington Park vs Visalia How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
40.2% +34%
Visalia: 30.1%
Average gross rent
$1,923 +29%
Visalia: $1,490
Average HH income
$90,429 +13%
Visalia: $79,952
Poverty rate
8.4% -26%
Visalia: 11.3%
Renter share
43.6% +12%
Visalia: 38.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Covington Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.2–5.2

Why Covington Park scores 5.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Rent control risk
40% of income on rent · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
44% renter households · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Economic stress
8.4% below poverty line · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Risk score comparison

Covington Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Covington Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Covington Park: 5.25.2Covington ParkNeighborhoodParent city: 6.66.6Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Covington Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06107002004 5.2 5,516 40% $1,923
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 90

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 57%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 97%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 75%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 96%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Covington Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Covington Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Covington Park?

Covington Park scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Covington Park compare to Visalia overall?

Covington Park scores 1.4 points lower than Visalia overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 40% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,923 vs $1,490.
Q3

What is the average rent in Covington Park?

Average gross rent in Covington Park is $1,923/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Covington Park residents are renters?

44% of Covington Park households are renter-occupied (vs 39% in Visalia). The neighborhood has 5,516 residents.
Q5

Is Covington Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Covington Park sits in the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Covington Park for landlords?

Covington Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Visalia as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Covington Park?

Covington Park has 5,510 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (52.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (37.2%), Other / Multiracial (5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Covington Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Visalia

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Covington Park.

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