Sedgefield Eviction Risk: Lower

Severe burden reaches 30%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.7/10. On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 4.9% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. SNAP participation is 3.4% of households versus 15.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 133 evictions logged in this tract.

Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.7/10. The worst year on record was 2002, when filings touched 5.8% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 2.0% in 2015, is well off that peak.

Among the 58 mapped neighborhoods of Durham, it ranks #44 by risk, the lower third. Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Rent takes 11% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent runs $1,450, close to the Durham average.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.