Neighborhood · Durham, NC

Triple Crown Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 6,157 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.4/10 · range 2.4–2.4

Triple Crown is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Durham with 1 census tract and a population of 6,157 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.4/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 26% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 16% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,245/month sits 49% higher than the Durham citywide average ($1,508).

Risk score

2.4

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Triple Crown vs Durham How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

25.5% -13%

Durham: 29.4%

Average gross rent

$2,245 +49%

Durham: $1,508

Average HH income

$110,920 +40%

Durham: $79,234

Poverty rate

1.7% -86%

Durham: 12.2%

Renter share

11.7% -75%

Durham: 47.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Triple Crown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 2.4–2.4

Why Triple Crown scores 2.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts

2.3

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts

8.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Rent control risk

26% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

12% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Economic stress

1.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts

7.0

Risk score comparison

Triple Crown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Triple Crown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
37063001900	2.4	6,157	26%	$2,245

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 15

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 24%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 47%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 43%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 5%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Triple Crown

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

57Total filings (sum)
4.68%Avg annual filing rate
4.7%Peak year (2016)
2.37%Latest filed (2017)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Triple Crown

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

5.3%Housing insecurity
3.4%Utility shutoff threat
6.0%Food insecurity
4.0%SNAP enrollment
5.9%No health insurance
26.4%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Triple Crown

What is the eviction-risk score for Triple Crown?

Triple Crown scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Triple Crown compare to Durham overall?

Triple Crown scores 1.0 points lower than Durham overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 26% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $2,245 vs $1,508.

What is the average rent in Triple Crown?

Average gross rent in Triple Crown is $2,245/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Triple Crown residents are renters?

12% of Triple Crown households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Durham). The neighborhood has 6,157 residents.

Is Triple Crown a high social-vulnerability area?

Triple Crown sits in the 15th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Triple Crown for landlords?

Triple Crown carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Durham as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Triple Crown?

Triple Crown has 6,120 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (69.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (14.2%), Hispanic / Latino (8.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Triple Crown

5.2 Hillcrest 2 tracts · pop 8,879 5.2 Annie Day Shepard Dormitory 4 tracts · pop 11,781 5.1 Keene 2 tracts · pop 13,770 3.6 Hope Valley North 2 tracts · pop 10,080 3.9 Crest Street 2 tracts · pop 6,841 4.4 Horton Hills 2 tracts · pop 9,513

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Durham

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Triple Crown.

2.4 Homeplace III 1 tracts · pop 6,115 2.3 Sedgefield 1 tracts · pop 3,332 2.5 Parkwood 1 tracts · pop 4,948 2.2 Trinity Heights 1 tracts · pop 1,750 2.2 Brightwood Trails 1 tracts · pop 11,342 2.6 Maida Vale 1 tracts · pop 4,266

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