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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Sweetwater Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , Scottsdale

Tract 04013216850 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,101 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 04013216850 sits in the Sweetwater Ranch area of Scottsdale eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 5,101 residents. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 26% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units2,459
Renter share54.8%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate7.4%
Median income$87,629

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Sweetwater Ranch
Low
Within parent city
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#53 of 61 tracts In Scottsdale
Very Low
Within county
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#739 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region

Centroid at 33.6244, -111.8827 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sweetwater Ranch scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
7.4% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$2,081 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.0

How Sweetwater Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sweetwater Ranch risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 216850Scottsdale: 3.23.2Scottsdaleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 14

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 569Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 13.93%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.8%Peak (2001)
  • 95Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040132168502001: 143 filings (17.78/100 renter HHs)2002: 137 filings (17.03/100 renter HHs)2003: 84 filings (10.44/100 renter HHs)2004: 110 filings (13.68/100 renter HHs)2005: 95 filings (10.74/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 34% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Sweetwater Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sweetwater Ranch

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10. 53% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.

Court records carry 569 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Housing insecurity runs 7.0% against 14.2% nationally. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 4.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2001, when 17.8% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 13.9% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $2,081, close to the Scottsdale average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013216850

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013216850?

Census tract 04013216850 in the Sweetwater Ranch neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013216850?

Median gross rent is $2,081/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013216850?

7.4% of residents in tract 04013216850 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,101.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013216850?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 17th, minority 46th, housing 9th.
Q5

Is tract 04013216850 considered part of Sweetwater Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013216850 fall within Sweetwater Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013216850?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 569 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013216850 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.93% of renter households, peaking at 17.8% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013216850 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013216850 compare to Scottsdale overall?

Tract 04013216850 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Scottsdale at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Scottsdale

Top eight tracts in Scottsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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