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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Sweetwater Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , Scottsdale

Tract 04013216853 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,401 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

04013216853 is a census tract in the Sweetwater Ranch area of Scottsdale, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 29% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units2,768
Renter share55.8%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate4.1%
Median income$96,012

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Sweetwater Ranch
Very Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#31 of 61 tracts In Scottsdale
Moderate
Within county
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#741 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region

Centroid at 33.6167, -111.8700 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sweetwater Ranch scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
4.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,690 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.0

How Sweetwater Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sweetwater Ranch risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 216853Scottsdale: 3.23.2Scottsdaleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 36

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 329Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 4.13%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.7%Peak (2002)
  • 42Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040132168532001: 56 filings (3.56/100 renter HHs)2002: 106 filings (6.74/100 renter HHs)2003: 73 filings (4.64/100 renter HHs)2004: 52 filings (3.30/100 renter HHs)2005: 42 filings (2.43/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 25% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Sweetwater Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sweetwater Ranch

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. SNAP participation runs 4.5% against 15.2% nationally. At $1,690 a month, rents run 16% under what the rest of Scottsdale commands.

The filing record is not thin: 329 evictions over 5 years of observation. It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Filings peaked in 2002 at 6.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.1% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013216853

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013216853?

Census tract 04013216853 in the Sweetwater Ranch neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013216853?

Median gross rent is $1,690/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013216853?

4.1% of residents in tract 04013216853 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,401.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013216853?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 29th, minority 55th, housing 52th.
Q5

Is tract 04013216853 considered part of Sweetwater Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013216853 fall within Sweetwater Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013216853?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 329 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013216853 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.13% of renter households, peaking at 6.7% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013216853 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013216853 compare to Scottsdale overall?

Tract 04013216853 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Scottsdale at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Scottsdale

Top eight tracts in Scottsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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