Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally
Sweetwater Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , Scottsdale
Tract 04013216852 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,931 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 04013216852 covers part of the Sweetwater Ranch area of Scottsdale, AZ, and scores 3.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,931. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units1,877
Renter share64.4%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate6.4%
Median income$75,652
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
78
th percentile
High
Within county
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region
Centroid at 33.6151, -111.8847 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sweetwater Ranch scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.4% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,980 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.0
How Sweetwater Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 26
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 31%Socioeconomic
- 15%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 839Total filings over 5 yrs
- 20.41%Avg annual filing rate
- 30.3%Peak (2004)
- 200Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 64% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Sweetwater Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.3%Housing insecurity
- 4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.3%Food insecurity
- 6.4%SNAP enrollment
- 5.7%Transit barriers
- 7.0%No health insurance
- 13.9%Frequent mental distress
- 24.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sweetwater Ranch
59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10. SNAP participation runs 6.4% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 9.3% against 17.8% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 839 evictions over 5 years of observation. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.6 points. The worst year on record was 2004, when 30.3% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 20.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #65,414 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013216852
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013216852?
Census tract 04013216852 in the Sweetwater Ranch neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013216852?
Median gross rent is $1,980/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013216852?
6.4% of residents in tract 04013216852 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,931.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013216852?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 15th, minority 39th, housing 38th.
Q5
Is tract 04013216852 considered part of Sweetwater Ranch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013216852 fall within Sweetwater Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013216852?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 839 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013216852 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.41% of renter households, peaking at 30.3% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013216852 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013216852 compare to Scottsdale overall?
Tract 04013216852 scores 3.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Scottsdale at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Scottsdale
Top eight tracts in Scottsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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Main Street Arts District
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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Downtown Scottsdale
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Trails II
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Gainey Ranch
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013217700
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Shiloh Canyon
3.4
/ 10 · Low
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Country Horizons
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Santo Tomas
3.3
/ 10 · Low
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