1 census tracts · pop 4,385 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4/10
· range 4–4
Coverstone is a one-tract neighborhood of Bull Run, VA, population 4,385. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4/10, Moderate tier. 33% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 2/10. On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.5/10.
Court records for this tract carry 117 eviction filings. Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.6/10.
Cost burden runs 47% against 50.6% citywide, putting Coverstone 4.0% under its own city. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 13.5% of renter households. Among the 4 mapped neighborhoods of Bull Run, it ranks #4 by risk, the lower third.
Judgments average 2.8% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. For a like-for-like read, Zouave Hills and Crestwood Village score within a fraction of it. Average gross rent runs $1,948, close to the Bull Run average.
Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $106,094. 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Coverstone vs Bull RunHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority86%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport35%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Coverstone
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
117Total filings (sum)
13.46%Avg annual filing rate
13.5%Peak year (2016)
13.46%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Coverstone
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
15.7%Housing insecurity
9.1%Utility shutoff threat
17.9%Food insecurity
12.6%SNAP enrollment
14.8%No health insurance
29.0%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Coverstone
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Coverstone?
Coverstone scores 4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Coverstone compare to Bull Run overall?
Coverstone scores 0.4 points higher than Bull Run overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 51% citywide. Average rent: $1,948 vs $1,907.
Q3
What is the average rent in Coverstone?
Average gross rent in Coverstone is $1,948/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Coverstone residents are renters?
54% of Coverstone households are renter-occupied (vs 64% in Bull Run). The neighborhood has 4,385 residents.
Q5
Is Coverstone a high social-vulnerability area?
Coverstone sits in the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Coverstone for landlords?
Coverstone carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bull Run as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Coverstone?
Coverstone has 4,207 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (31.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (22.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (19.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
