Neighborhood · Bull Run, VA

Coverstone Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,385 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.6/10 · range 2.6–2.6

Coverstone is a hispanic-black neighborhood in Bull Run with 1 census tract and a population of 4,385 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.6/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 47% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 33% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,948/month sits 2% higher than the Bull Run citywide average ($1,907).

Risk score

2.6

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Coverstone vs Bull Run How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

46.6% -8%

Bull Run: 50.6%

Average gross rent

$1,948 +2%

Bull Run: $1,907

Average HH income

$106,094 +20%

Bull Run: $88,675

Poverty rate

8.0% -48%

Bull Run: 15.3%

Renter share

53.5% -16%

Bull Run: 63.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Coverstone and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 2.6–2.6

Why Coverstone scores 2.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts

6.4

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts

6.6

Rent control risk

47% of income on rent · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts

2.6

Tenant organizing strength

54% renter households · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts

2.7

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts

2.7

Economic stress

8.0% below poverty line · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts

3.4

Risk score comparison

Coverstone vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Coverstone

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51153901407	2.6	4,385	47%	$1,948

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 65

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 74%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 54%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 86%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 35%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Coverstone

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

117Total filings (sum)
13.46%Avg annual filing rate
13.5%Peak year (2016)
13.46%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Coverstone

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

15.7%Housing insecurity
9.1%Utility shutoff threat
17.9%Food insecurity
12.6%SNAP enrollment
14.8%No health insurance
29.0%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Coverstone

What is the eviction-risk score for Coverstone?

Coverstone scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Coverstone compare to Bull Run overall?

Coverstone scores 0.9 points lower than Bull Run overall (3.5/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 51% citywide. Average rent: $1,948 vs $1,907.

What is the average rent in Coverstone?

Average gross rent in Coverstone is $1,948/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Coverstone residents are renters?

54% of Coverstone households are renter-occupied (vs 64% in Bull Run). The neighborhood has 4,385 residents.

Is Coverstone a high social-vulnerability area?

Coverstone sits in the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Coverstone for landlords?

Coverstone carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bull Run as a whole (3.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Coverstone?

Coverstone has 4,207 residents (Hispanic-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (31.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (22.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (19.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Coverstone

2.1 Iron Gate 2 tracts · pop 9,000 1.7 Kerrydale 2 tracts · pop 12,361 2 The Heights 5 tracts · pop 26,016 1.1 Southlake 2 tracts · pop 12,342 2.6 Marumsco Village 3 tracts · pop 10,059 2.7 Marumsco Hills 2 tracts · pop 8,902

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Bull Run

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Coverstone.

3 Zouave Hills 1 tracts · pop 4,256 3.6 Crestwood Village 1 tracts · pop 7,258 5 TGM Bull Run 1 tracts · pop 3,837

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