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Neighborhood · Bull Run, VA

Zouave Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,256 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 4.5–4.5

Zouave Hills maps to a single census tract in Bull Run, VA and houses 4,256 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.5/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Against a Bull Run baseline of 50.6%, 34% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

This is a renter market: 72% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.5/10.

Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.6/10. Severe burden reaches 10%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.7/10. That places it #3 of 4 neighborhoods in Bull Run.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Crestwood Village and Coverstone. Average gross rent runs $1,973, close to the Bull Run average. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $101,579.

One tract means one number: 4.5/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Zouave Hills vs Bull Run How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
33.8% -33%
Bull Run: 50.6%
Average gross rent
$1,973 +3%
Bull Run: $1,907
Average HH income
$101,579 +15%
Bull Run: $88,675
Poverty rate
11.7% -24%
Bull Run: 15.3%
Renter share
72.3% +14%
Bull Run: 63.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Zouave Hills and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.5–4.5

Why Zouave Hills scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Rent control risk
34% of income on rent · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
72% renter households · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Economic stress
11.7% below poverty line · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts
2.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Risk score comparison

Zouave Hills vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Zouave Hills score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.5Zouave HillsNeighborhood3.6Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Zouave Hills

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51153901418 4.5 4,256 34% $1,973
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 58

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 54%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 56%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 87%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 41%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Zouave Hills

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Zouave Hills

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Zouave Hills?

Zouave Hills scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Zouave Hills compare to Bull Run overall?

Zouave Hills scores 0.9 points higher than Bull Run overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 34% of income on rent vs 51% citywide. Average rent: $1,973 vs $1,907.
Q3

What is the average rent in Zouave Hills?

Average gross rent in Zouave Hills is $1,973/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Zouave Hills residents are renters?

72% of Zouave Hills households are renter-occupied (vs 64% in Bull Run). The neighborhood has 4,256 residents.
Q5

Is Zouave Hills a high social-vulnerability area?

Zouave Hills sits in the 58th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Zouave Hills for landlords?

Zouave Hills carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bull Run as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Zouave Hills?

Zouave Hills has 4,338 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (39.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (30.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (17%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Zouave Hills

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Bull Run

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Zouave Hills.

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