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Neighborhood · Bull Run, VA

Zouave Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,256 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.2/10 · range 4.2-4.2

Zouave Hills is a hispanic-black neighborhood in Bull Run with 1 census tract and a population of 4,256 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 34% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 10% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,973/month sits 3% higher than the Bull Run citywide average ($1,907).

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Zouave Hills vs Bull Run How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
33.8% -33%
Bull Run: 50.6%
Average gross rent
$1,973 +3%
Bull Run: $1,907
Average HH income
$101,579 +15%
Bull Run: $88,675
Poverty rate
11.7% -24%
Bull Run: 15.3%
Renter share
72.3% +14%
Bull Run: 63.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Zouave Hills and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.2-4.2

Why Zouave Hills scores 4.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2-3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4-6.4 across tracts
6.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.6-6.6 across tracts
6.6
Rent control risk
34% of income on rent · Range 2.5-2.5 across tracts
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.6-2.6 across tracts
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
72% renter households · Range 2.7-2.7 across tracts
2.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.7-2.7 across tracts
2.7
Economic stress
11.7% below poverty line · Range 2.9-2.9 across tracts
2.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.5-3.5 across tracts
3.5
Risk score comparison

Zouave Hills vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0-10 scale).

Zouave Hills score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Zouave Hills: 4.24.2Zouave HillsNeighborhoodParent city: 4.84.8Parent cityhost cityState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Zouave Hills

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51153901418 4.2 4,256 34% $1,973
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 58

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 54%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 56%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 87%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 41%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Zouave Hills

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Zouave Hills

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Zouave Hills?

Zouave Hills scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does Zouave Hills compare to Bull Run overall?

Zouave Hills scores 0.6 points lower than Bull Run overall (4.8/10). Renters spend 34% of income on rent vs 51% citywide. Average rent: $1,973 vs $1,907.

Q3

What is the average rent in Zouave Hills?

Average gross rent in Zouave Hills is $1,973/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of Zouave Hills residents are renters?

72% of Zouave Hills households are renter-occupied (vs 64% in Bull Run). The neighborhood has 4,256 residents.

Q5

Is Zouave Hills a high social-vulnerability area?

Zouave Hills sits in the 58th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

How safe is Zouave Hills for landlords?

Zouave Hills carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bull Run as a whole (4.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Zouave Hills?

Zouave Hills has 4,338 residents (Hispanic-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (39.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (30.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (17%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Zouave Hills

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Bull Run

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Zouave Hills.

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