Oak Creek Eviction Risk: Elevated

This is a renter market: 90% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Annualized rent equals 40% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The severe-burden share is 26%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1.5/10. At $1,302 a month, rents sit 27% under what the rest of Tigard commands.

The poverty rate is 24%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7.9/10. Court records for this tract carry 98 eviction filings.

Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 4.4% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 4.0% in 2018 against a 4.4% peak. That places it #1 of 9 neighborhoods in Tigard.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Cook Park and Southview. Social vulnerability runs high at 8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

One tract means one number: 7.6/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.